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Superligaen
Referee: Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt
Aarhus
U T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Lyngby
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 6. · Lyngby 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 5 4 1 0 +6 13
2 Silkeborg 5 3 1 1 +4 10
3 Randers FC 5 2 3 0 +3 9
4 Viborg 5 3 0 2 +2 9
5 Horsens 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Aarhus 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Midtjylland 5 1 3 1 +2 6
8 FC Copenhagen 5 2 0 3 +0 6
9 Brondby 5 2 0 3 -4 6
10 Lyngby 4 0 2 2 -2 2
11 Aalborg 5 0 2 3 -5 2
12 Odense 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Lyngby
4′
🟨 Emil Nielsen
1–0 Y. Aurel Bisseck
N. Poulsen
20′
Frederik Brandhof 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Marcel Rømer
56′
🔁 M. Kristensen
↦ E. Nielsen
56′
🔁 G. Mortensen
↦ A. Bjelland
66′
🔁 C. Winther
↦ M. Rømer
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ G. Links
67′
67′
🔁 R. Çorlu
↦ S. Magnússon
A. D'Alberto 🔁
↦ T. Mølgaard
80′
B. Hvidt 🔁
↦ M. Emil Madsen
81′
87′
🔁 S. Ngabo
↦ P. Gregor
D. Kurminowski 🔁
↦ S. Haugen
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
29 F. Brandhof M
11 G. Links M
9 P. Mortensen F
10 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
19 E. Kahl
26 A. D'Alberto
22 B. Hvidt
21 D. Kurminowski
20 Z. Duncan
13 A. Munksgaard
16 D. Andersen
44 O. Olsson
28 A. Daghim

Coach: U. Rösler

Lyngby

5-3-2
1 F. Ibsen G
20 K. Jørgensen D
23 P. Gregor D
6 A. Bjelland D
5 K. Riis D
3 B. Hämäläinen D
22 M. Westergaard M
30 M. Rømer M
11 M. Kaastrup M
7 E. Nielsen F
21 S. Magnússon F
Bench (9)
9 M. Kristensen
25 G. Mortensen
13 C. Winther
97 R. Çorlu
19 S. Ngabo
16 M. Kikkenborg
2 M. Juhl
29 L. Hey
10 R. Thellufsen

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.