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Superligaen
Referee: J Karlsen
Aarhus
T S S U U
1–0
Full-time
Lyngby
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 6. · Lyngby 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 6 5 0 1 +7 +4.1 15
2 Nordsjaelland 5 4 0 1 +10 +0.1 12
3 Silkeborg 6 3 1 2 +2 +4.5 10
4 Brondby 5 3 0 2 +2 +0.3 9
5 Midtjylland 5 3 0 2 +0 +1.7 9
6 Aarhus 5 2 2 1 +1 +3.4 8
7 Viborg 6 2 2 2 -2 +2.2 8
8 Lyngby 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.2 7
9 Odense 5 1 2 2 -1 -2.7 5
10 Randers FC 6 1 2 3 -9 -1.3 5
11 Hvidovre IF 5 0 2 3 -5 -3.9 2
12 Vejle 5 0 0 5 -5 -8.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -22 Lyngby – Aarhus 0–1 15. Aug -22 Aarhus – Lyngby 1–0 7. Feb -21 Aarhus – Lyngby 1–0 8. Nov -20 Lyngby – Aarhus 1–2 8. Dec -19 Aarhus – Lyngby 1–1

Match report

Aarhus Lyngby
1–0 P. Mortensen ⚽
F. Beijmo
6′
Eric Kahl 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Willy Kumado
Thomas Kristensen 🟨
52′
67′
🔁 C. Winther
↦ M. Rømer
67′
🔁 J. Amon
↦ A. Guðjohnsen
T. Bech 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
71′
T. Anker 🔁
↦ E. Kahl
75′
76′
ℹ️ Kolbeinn Finnsson
VAR: Penalty cancelled
79′
🔁 R. Çorlu
↦ M. Jensen
79′
🔁 B. Hamalainen
↦ S. Magnússon
79′
🔁 T. Storm
↦ W. Kumado
P. Bjur 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
88′
Felix Beijmo 🟨
107′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
45 B. Peacock-Farrell G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
23 T. Kristensen D
2 F. Beijmo M
15 M. Knudsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
19 E. Kahl M
20 M. Duelund F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
31 T. Bech
4 T. Anker
21 P. Bjur
24 Z. Duncan
30 M. Sauer
13 J. Serra
26 J. Andersen
1 J. Hansen
27 M. Akoto

Coach: U. Rösler

Lyngby

3-5-2
1 M. Kikkenborg G
23 P. Gregor D
6 A. Bjelland D
12 M. Jensen D
7 W. Kumado M
21 S. Magnússon M
30 M. Rømer M
42 T. Chukwuani M
20 K. Finnsson M
26 F. Gytkjær F
22 A. Guðjohnsen F
Bench (9)
13 C. Winther
17 J. Amon
10 R. Çorlu
3 B. Hamalainen
24 T. Storm
11 M. Kaastrup
32 J. Storch
25 G. Mortensen
8 P. Bizoza

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Karlsen · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.