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LaLiga2
Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo
Santander
T U T U S
3–3
Full-time
Mirandes
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 42/42 matches
Win Ø 50%
48%
52%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
57%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 5. · Mirandes 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 42 22 13 7 +27 79
2 Oviedo 43 22 12 9 +15 78
3 Elche 42 22 11 9 +25 77
4 Mirandes 42 22 9 11 +19 75
5 Santander 42 20 11 11 +14 71
6 Almeria 43 19 12 12 +16 69
7 Granada 42 18 11 13 +11 65
8 Huesca 42 18 10 14 +9 64
9 Eibar 42 15 13 14 +3 58
10 Albacete 42 15 13 14 +0 58
11 Sp Gijon 42 14 14 14 +3 56
12 Cadiz 42 14 13 15 +2 55
13 Cordoba 42 14 13 15 -4 55
14 Burgos 42 15 10 17 -7 55
15 Castellon 42 14 11 17 +2 53
16 La Coruna 42 13 14 15 +2 53
17 Malaga 42 12 17 13 -4 53
18 Zaragoza 42 13 12 17 -7 51
19 Eldense 42 11 12 19 -19 45
20 Tenerife 42 8 12 22 -20 36
21 Ferrol 42 6 12 24 -42 30
22 Cartagena 42 6 5 31 -45 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Mirandes
Mario Garcia 🟨
27′
31′
Urko Izeta 0–1
Joaquin Panichelli
34′
Hugo Rincón 0–2
Joaquin Panichelli
1–2 Iñigo Vicente
Juan Carlos Arana
40′
Clément Michelin 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 Victor Parada
↦ Juan Gutiérrez
52′
🟨 Pablo Tomeo
56′
Alberto Reina 1–3
Joaquin Panichelli
Marco Sangalli 🔁
↦ Rober González
59′
Maguette Gueye 🔁
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
65′
Jon Karrikaburu 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
65′
Maguette Gueye 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Jon Gorrotxategi
2–3 Andrés Martín
Maguette Gueye
71′
79′
🔁 Joel Roca
↦ Urko Izeta
80′
🟨 Joaquin Panichelli
Jeremy Arevalo 🔁
↦ Mario Garcia
82′
Saúl García 🔁
↦ Clément Michelin
82′
89′
🔁 Alberto Rodríguez
↦ Alberto Reina
90′
🔁 Adrián Butzke
↦ Joaquin Panichelli
90′
🔁 Julio Alonso
↦ Iker Benito
2–4 Julio Alonso
own goal
98′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
17 Clément Michelin D
2 Alvaro Mantilla D
5 Javier Castro D
40 Mario Garcia D
23 Víctor Meseguer M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
16 Rober González M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
15 Marco Sangalli
12 Maguette Gueye
19 Jon Karrikaburu
3 Saúl García
29 Jeremy Arevalo
1 Miquel Parera
18 Manu Hernando
24 Francisco Montero
21 Unai Vencedor
7 Lago Júnior
22 Pablo Rodríguez
14 Ekain Zenitagoia

Coach: José Alberto López

Mirandes

5-3-2
13 Raúl Fernández G
2 Hugo Rincón D
22 Juan Gutiérrez D
4 Unai Eguíluz D
15 Pablo Tomeo D
29 Iker Benito D
10 Alberto Reina M
6 Jon Gorrotxategi M
19 Mathis Lachuer M
9 Joaquin Panichelli F
17 Urko Izeta F
Bench (12)
33 Victor Parada
27 Joel Roca
5 Alberto Rodríguez
3 Julio Alonso
7 Adrián Butzke
31 Alex González Gorrin
1 Luis López
21 Sergio Postigo
8 Carlo Adriano García
20 Ander Martín
11 Alex Calvo
28 Alberto Dadie

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Damaso Arcediano Monescillo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.