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LaLiga2
Referee: S Muresan
Valladolid
T T T T T
3–0
Full-time
Ceuta
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Ceuta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,58 xG 0,31
42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
7 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Valladolid Ceuta
1–0 Chuki ⚽
S. Biuk
23′
Stipe Biuk 🟨
26′
Víctor Meseguer 🟨
37′
2–0 A. Ndiaye ⚽
Chuki
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Rodriguez
↦ A. Bassinga
46′
🔁 Youness
↦ M. Vallejo
48′
🔁 E. Aghama
↦ K. Kone
54′
🟨 Kuki Zalazar
3–0 A. Ndiaye ⚽
55′
Chuky 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 J. Ortuno
↦ Y. Bodiger
T. Nikitscher 🔁
↦ V. A. Meseguer Cavas
76′
Marcos Andre 🔁
↦ S. Biuk
76′
78′
🔁 Anuar
↦ A. Escudero
Trilli 🔁
↦ I. Alejo
81′
X. Moreno 🔁
↦ Chuki
81′
84′
🟨 Gonzalo Almenara
I. Garriel 🔁
↦ G. Bueno
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
13 Guilherme Fernandes G
14 I. Alejo D
15 P. Tomeo D
4 D. Torres D
3 G. Bueno D
24 S. Juric M
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas M
11 A. Ndiaye M
20 Chuki M
17 S. Biuk M
9 J. Latasa F
Bench (12)
1 A. Aceves
2 Trilli
6 T. Nikitscher
7 M. Sylla
10 Marcos Andre
12 I. Alani
16 M. Maroto
18 J. Delgado
27 I. Garriel
28 X. Moreno
32 Koke
34 J. L. Aranda

Coach: Fran Escriba

Ceuta

4-2-3-1
13 G. Vallejo G
17 G. Almenara D
6 C. Hernandez D
24 Y. Cantero D
16 C. Redruello Nimo D
14 Y. Bodiger M
26 A. Bassinga M
20 A. Escudero M
8 K. Zalazar M
22 K. Kone M
21 M. Vallejo F
Bench (11)
10 C. Rodriguez
5 Youness
7 A. Ahmed
1 P. Lopez
4 A. Caparros
30 Josema
23 Anuar
15 D. Gonzalez
11 J. Ortuno
3 Matos Jose
27 E. Aghama

Coach: Jose Romero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
🔒
U
3,43
🔒
B
3,82
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,88
🔒
U2,5
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Muresan · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.