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Serie B

Frosinone

S T T S U

4–1

Full-time

Monza

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 46%

40%

51%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

49%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

49%

51%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

16 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 3

19 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Frosinone 8. · Monza 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	35	19	9	7	+20	66
2	Lecce	35	17	14	4	+26	65
3	Monza	35	18	10	7	+23	64
4	Benevento	35	18	9	8	+28	63
5	Pisa	35	17	12	6	+14	63
6	Brescia	35	16	14	5	+18	62
7	Ascoli	36	17	8	11	+6	59
8	Frosinone	35	14	13	8	+14	55
9	Perugia	35	12	16	7	+7	52
10	Cittadella	36	12	13	11	+2	49
11	Ternana	35	13	9	13	-2	48
12	Reggina	35	13	8	14	-12	47
13	Parma	35	10	15	10	+5	45
14	Como	35	10	14	11	-5	44
15	Spal	35	7	14	14	-12	35
16	Alessandria	35	8	8	19	-21	32
17	Cosenza	35	6	10	19	-26	28
18	Vicenza	35	6	7	22	-25	25
19	Crotone	35	3	13	19	-21	22
20	Pordenone	35	3	8	24	-39	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	18	12	4	2	+20	40
2	Cremonese	18	11	6	1	+15	39
3	Lecce	17	11	5	1	+20	38
4	Pisa	18	10	7	1	+13	37
5	Benevento	17	10	4	3	+20	34
6	Frosinone	17	9	6	2	+16	33
7	Reggina	18	9	2	7	-2	29
8	Brescia	17	7	7	3	+7	28
9	Ascoli	18	7	6	5	+3	27
10	Ternana	18	8	2	8	+2	26
11	Parma	18	5	8	5	+5	23
12	Cittadella	18	6	5	7	+3	23
13	Como	17	5	7	5	+2	22
14	Cosenza	17	6	3	8	-5	21
15	Perugia	17	4	8	5	+1	20
16	Alessandria	17	5	5	7	-6	20
17	Spal	18	3	8	7	-1	17
18	Crotone	17	3	8	6	-3	17
19	Vicenza	18	4	5	9	-5	17
20	Pordenone	18	2	6	10	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	18	9	7	2	+11	34
2	Perugia	18	8	8	2	+6	32
3	Ascoli	18	10	2	6	+3	32
4	Benevento	18	8	5	5	+8	29
5	Lecce	18	6	9	3	+6	27
6	Cremonese	17	8	3	6	+5	27
7	Pisa	17	7	5	5	+1	26
8	Cittadella	18	6	8	4	-1	26
9	Monza	17	6	6	5	+3	24
10	Parma	17	5	7	5	+0	22
11	Frosinone	18	5	7	6	-2	22
12	Ternana	17	5	7	5	-4	22
13	Como	18	5	7	6	-7	22
14	Reggina	17	4	6	7	-10	18
15	Spal	17	4	6	7	-11	18
16	Alessandria	18	3	3	12	-15	12
17	Vicenza	17	2	2	13	-20	8
18	Cosenza	18	0	7	11	-21	7
19	Crotone	18	0	5	13	-18	5
20	Pordenone	17	1	2	14	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.