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Coppa Italia
Referee: E Feliciani
Cagliari
U U T S S
4–1
Full-time
Frosinone
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 15. · Frosinone 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Virtus Entella 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Audace Cerignola 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Venezia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Parma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Torino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Pescara 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Verona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Palermo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Cesena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Rimini 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Bari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -4 0
36 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Frosinone
1′
🟨 Giorgio Cittadini
1–0 G. Gaetano
2′
36′
E. Vergani 1–1
J. Gelli
A. Di Pardo 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
45′
Half-time 1–1
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ M. Rog
46′
M. Felici 🔁
↦ S. Kilicsoy
46′
59′
🔁 I. Koutsoupias
↦ M. Cichella
60′
🔁 G. Calvani
↦ J. Oyono
62′
🟨 Filippo Grosso
66′
🔁 G. Calo
↦ F. Grosso
66′
🔁 A. Raychev
↦ A. Ndow
2–1 G. Borrelli
M. Felici
67′
M. Adopo 🔁
↦ L. Mazzitelli
68′
S. Esposito 🔁
↦ G. Gaetano
77′
3–1 M. Felici
R. Idrissi
80′
81′
🔁 D. Dixon
↦ G. Bracaglia
4–1 N. Cavuoti
S. Esposito
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
24 G. Ciocci G
28 G. Zappa D
32 J. Pedro D
6 S. Luperto D
3 R. Idrissi D
21 N. Cavuoti M
4 L. Mazzitelli M
20 M. Rog M
10 G. Gaetano M
9 S. Kilicsoy F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (15)
1 E. Caprile
34 V. Sarno
2 M. Palestra
8 M. Adopo
14 A. Deiola
15 J. Rodriguez
16 M. Prati
17 M. Felici
18 A. Di Pardo
19 A. Belotti
27 J. Liteta
30 L. Pavoletti
98 A. Franke
99 N. Grandu
94 S. Esposito

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Frosinone

4-2-3-1
75 M. Pisseri G
21 J. Oyono D
2 G. Cittadini D
6 J. Gelli D
79 G. Bracaglia D
16 M. Cichella M
24 A. Ndow M
17 G. Kvernadze M
18 F. Grosso M
32 E. Masciangelo M
90 E. Vergani F
Bench (11)
12 E. Lolic
22 L. Palmisani
3 G. Calvani
8 I. Koutsoupias
14 G. Calo
15 M. Obleac
27 A. Raychev
28 A. Cichero
40 M. Colley
46 M. Toci
77 D. Dixon

Coach: Massimiliano Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.