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Serie B

Referee: M Gualtieri

Spezia

T T S U U

4–2

Full-time

Cittadella

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

17%

42%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

66% Possession 34%

15 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Spezia 18. · Cittadella 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	24	15	6	3	+22	51
2	Cremonese	25	13	7	5	+16	46
3	Como	24	13	6	5	+8	45
4	Venezia	24	13	5	6	+14	44
5	Palermo	24	12	6	6	+13	42
6	Catanzaro	24	11	5	8	+4	38
7	Cittadella	24	10	6	8	+1	36
8	Modena	24	8	9	7	-3	33
9	Brescia	24	8	8	8	+1	32
10	Pisa	24	7	9	8	+0	30
11	Reggiana	24	6	12	6	-1	30
12	Bari	24	6	12	6	-3	30
13	Cosenza	24	7	8	9	+0	29
14	Sampdoria	24	8	5	11	-7	29
15	Sudtirol	24	7	6	11	-4	27
16	Ascoli	25	5	8	12	-7	23
17	Ternana	24	5	7	12	-6	22
18	Spezia	24	4	10	10	-15	22
19	FeralpiSalo	24	5	6	13	-13	21
20	Lecco	24	5	5	14	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	7	5	0	+11	26
2	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Como	12	7	3	2	+6	24
4	Catanzaro	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Cittadella	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	Palermo	12	7	1	4	+8	22
7	Cremonese	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Bari	12	4	6	2	+1	18
9	Modena	12	5	3	4	+1	18
10	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+5	16
11	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Ternana	13	3	5	5	+1	14
13	Pisa	12	3	5	4	+0	14
14	Reggiana	12	2	8	2	-1	14
15	Sampdoria	12	4	2	6	-3	14
16	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	+0	13
17	FeralpiSalo	12	3	3	6	-1	12
18	Sudtirol	12	3	3	6	-3	12
19	Lecco	11	3	1	7	-7	10
20	Spezia	11	1	6	4	-3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Cremonese	12	7	3	2	+8	24
3	Como	12	6	3	3	+2	21
4	Palermo	12	5	5	2	+5	20
5	Venezia	12	5	3	4	+5	18
6	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
7	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Pisa	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	Sudtirol	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Catanzaro	12	4	3	5	-3	15
11	Sampdoria	12	4	3	5	-4	15
12	Modena	12	3	6	3	-4	15
13	Cittadella	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Cosenza	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Spezia	13	3	4	6	-12	13
16	Bari	12	2	6	4	-4	12
17	Ascoli	13	2	4	7	-7	10
18	Lecco	13	2	4	7	-13	10
19	FeralpiSalo	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Ternana	11	2	2	7	-7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.