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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Karlsruhe

S S S U T

2–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,2

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

71%

62%

Both score Ø 69%

71%

67%

Average goals

3,6

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,1

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 11. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	21	11	9	1	+19	42
2	Holstein Kiel	22	13	3	6	+13	42
3	Hamburg	22	11	5	6	+12	38
4	Hannover	22	10	7	5	+13	37
5	Greuther Furth	22	10	5	7	+6	35
6	Paderborn	22	10	4	8	-3	34
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	9	5	7	+14	32
8	Hertha	22	9	5	8	+6	32
9	Elversberg	21	8	5	8	-3	29
10	Nurnberg	21	8	5	8	-9	29
11	Karlsruhe	21	7	7	7	+0	28
12	Magdeburg	22	7	6	9	+2	27
13	Wehen	22	7	6	9	-3	27
14	Schalke 04	22	8	2	12	-8	26
15	Braunschweig	21	7	2	12	-12	23
16	Hansa Rostock	22	6	4	12	-14	22
17	Kaiserslautern	21	6	3	12	-9	21
18	Osnabruck	21	1	9	11	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	11	7	3	1	+16	24
2	St Pauli	11	6	5	0	+14	23
3	Greuther Furth	11	7	2	2	+12	23
4	Hamburg	10	7	0	3	+10	21
5	Karlsruhe	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Schalke 04	11	6	1	4	+5	19
7	Holstein Kiel	11	6	1	4	+3	19
8	Hertha	11	5	3	3	+12	18
9	Magdeburg	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	+0	17
11	Braunschweig	11	5	2	4	-1	17
12	Kaiserslautern	11	5	1	5	+2	16
13	Wehen	10	4	4	2	+1	16
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	+1	15
15	Nurnberg	10	4	3	3	-1	15
16	Elversberg	10	4	2	4	-1	14
17	Hansa Rostock	11	4	2	5	-3	14
18	Osnabruck	11	1	5	5	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	11	7	2	2	+10	23
2	St Pauli	10	5	4	1	+5	19
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	5	2	3	+13	17
4	Hamburg	12	4	5	3	+2	17
5	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	-3	17
6	Elversberg	11	4	3	4	-2	15
7	Hertha	11	4	2	5	-6	14
8	Nurnberg	11	4	2	5	-8	14
9	Hannover	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Wehen	12	3	2	7	-4	11
12	Magdeburg	11	2	3	6	-3	9
13	Karlsruhe	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Hansa Rostock	11	2	2	7	-11	8
15	Schalke 04	11	2	1	8	-13	7
16	Braunschweig	10	2	0	8	-11	6
17	Kaiserslautern	10	1	2	7	-11	5
18	Osnabruck	10	0	4	6	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.