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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Spezia
S S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Cremonese
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
15%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
45%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 19. · Cremonese 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 21 13 6 2 +23 45
2 Venezia 20 11 5 4 +13 38
3 Como 20 11 5 4 +8 38
4 Cittadella 20 10 6 4 +7 36
5 Cremonese 20 10 5 5 +13 35
6 Catanzaro 20 10 3 7 +6 33
7 Palermo 20 9 5 6 +7 32
8 Brescia 20 7 7 6 +1 28
9 Modena 20 7 7 6 -4 28
10 Bari 20 5 11 4 +0 26
11 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
12 Reggiana 20 5 9 6 -3 24
13 Sudtirol 20 6 5 9 -1 23
14 Pisa 20 5 8 7 -3 23
15 Cosenza 20 5 6 9 -3 21
16 Lecco 20 5 5 10 -11 20
17 Ternana 20 4 6 10 -6 18
18 Ascoli 20 4 6 10 -7 18
19 Spezia 20 3 8 9 -15 17
20 FeralpiSalo 20 3 5 12 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Cremonese
Rachid Kouda 🟨
33′
Francesco Cassata 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
L. Mühl 🔁
↦ I. Gelashvili
46′
46′
🔁 L. Lochoshvili
↦ L. Ravanelli
49′
🟨 César Falletti
54′
M. Coda 0–1
F. Jagiełło 🔁
↦ F. Cassata
61′
67′
🔁 Ž. Majer
↦ C. Falletti
67′
🔁 P. Ghiglione
↦ L. Sernicola
70′
🟨 Michele Collocolo
R. Krollis 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
76′
77′
🔁 F. Tsadjout
↦ M. Coda
78′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ F. Vázquez
T. Cipot 🔁
↦ L. Vignali
84′
P. Candelari 🔁
↦ R. Kouda
84′
Petko Hristov 🟨
90′
Dimitris Nikolaou 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Spezia

3-5-2
1 J. Zoet G
33 I. Gelashvili D
55 P. Hristov D
43 D. Nikolaou D
14 L. Vignali M
80 R. Kouda M
10 S. Esposito M
25 F. Bandinelli M
29 F. Cassata M
99 D. Verde F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
23 L. Mühl
97 F. Jagiełło
19 R. Krollis
11 T. Cipot
36 P. Candelari
40 P. Zovko
15 N. Pietra
21 G. Corradini
28 G. Crespi
77 N. Bertola
24 L. Moro
48 M. Antonucci

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
17 L. Sernicola M
8 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
7 C. Falletti M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
44 L. Lochoshvili
37 Ž. Majer
18 P. Ghiglione
74 F. Tsadjout
33 G. Quagliata
11 F. Afena-Gyan
21 G. Saro
97 A. Livieri
9 D. Ciofani
32 G. Abrego
77 D. Okereke
31 Y. Rocchetti

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U
3,41
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.