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Serie B

Referee: L Zufferli

Catanzaro

S T U U S

2–2

Full-time

Sudtirol

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 38%

46%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

58%

54%

Both score Ø 59%

54%

63%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

24 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 6. · Sudtirol 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	25	16	6	3	+23	54
2	Cremonese	25	13	7	5	+16	46
3	Como	24	13	6	5	+8	45
4	Venezia	24	13	5	6	+14	44
5	Palermo	24	12	6	6	+13	42
6	Catanzaro	24	11	5	8	+4	38
7	Cittadella	25	10	6	9	-1	36
8	Bari	25	7	12	6	-2	33
9	Modena	24	8	9	7	-3	33
10	Cosenza	25	8	8	9	+2	32
11	Brescia	24	8	8	8	+1	32
12	Pisa	25	7	9	9	-1	30
13	Reggiana	25	6	12	7	-3	30
14	Sampdoria	24	8	5	11	-7	29
15	Sudtirol	24	7	6	11	-4	27
16	Ternana	25	6	7	12	-4	25
17	Spezia	25	5	10	10	-13	25
18	Ascoli	25	5	8	12	-7	23
19	FeralpiSalo	25	5	6	14	-14	21
20	Lecco	25	5	5	15	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	13	8	5	0	+12	29
2	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Como	12	7	3	2	+6	24
4	Catanzaro	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Cittadella	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	Palermo	12	7	1	4	+8	22
7	Cremonese	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Bari	13	5	6	2	+2	21
9	Modena	12	5	3	4	+1	18
10	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+5	16
11	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Ternana	13	3	5	5	+1	14
13	Pisa	12	3	5	4	+0	14
14	Sampdoria	12	4	2	6	-3	14
15	Reggiana	13	2	8	3	-3	14
16	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	+0	13
17	FeralpiSalo	12	3	3	6	-1	12
18	Spezia	12	2	6	4	-1	12
19	Sudtirol	12	3	3	6	-3	12
20	Lecco	12	3	1	8	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Cremonese	12	7	3	2	+8	24
3	Como	12	6	3	3	+2	21
4	Palermo	12	5	5	2	+5	20
5	Venezia	12	5	3	4	+5	18
6	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
7	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Pisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
9	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	-3	16
10	Sudtirol	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Catanzaro	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Sampdoria	12	4	3	5	-4	15
13	Modena	12	3	6	3	-4	15
14	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-6	13
15	Spezia	13	3	4	6	-12	13
16	Bari	12	2	6	4	-4	12
17	Ternana	12	3	2	7	-5	11
18	Ascoli	13	2	4	7	-7	10
19	Lecco	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	FeralpiSalo	13	2	3	8	-13	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.