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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Brescia
S T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Cittadella
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
32%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
27%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 9. · Cittadella 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 22 13 6 3 +20 45
2 Cremonese 22 12 5 5 +15 41
3 Venezia 22 12 5 5 +12 41
4 Palermo 23 11 6 6 +12 39
5 Como 22 11 6 5 +6 39
6 Cittadella 22 10 6 6 +4 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Modena 22 8 7 7 -3 31
9 Brescia 22 7 8 7 +0 29
10 Reggiana 22 6 10 6 -1 28
11 Sampdoria 22 8 4 10 -5 28
12 Cosenza 22 7 6 9 +0 27
13 Bari 23 5 12 6 -5 27
14 Pisa 22 6 8 8 -2 26
15 Sudtirol 22 6 6 10 -2 24
16 Ascoli 22 5 7 10 -5 22
17 Ternana 22 5 6 11 -5 21
18 FeralpiSalo 22 5 5 12 -12 20
19 Spezia 22 4 8 10 -15 20
20 Lecco 22 5 5 12 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Cittadella
33′
🟨 Stefano Negro
Gennaro Borrelli 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Carriero
↦ F. Amatucci
1–0 G. Borrelli
52′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ G. Olzer
66′
G. Moncini 🔁
↦ F. Bianchi
67′
67′
🔁 V. Mastrantonio
↦ A. Salvi
72′
🔁 T. Maistrello
↦ L. Pandolfi
72′
🔁 E. Baldini
↦ C. Cassano
2–0 G. Moncini
D. Bisoli
74′
M. Mangraviti 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
75′
76′
🟨 Filippo Pittarello
76′
🔁 M. Angeli
↦ N. Pavan
Massimo Bertagnoli 🟨
78′
80′
🟨 Simone Branca
M. Fares 🔁
↦ M. Bertagnoli
85′
T. van de Looi 🔁
↦ F. Paghera
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
22 L. Andrenacci G
24 L. Dickmann D
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
25 D. Bisoli M
4 F. Paghera M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
27 G. Olzer M
9 F. Bianchi F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (12)
7 B. Bjarnason
11 G. Moncini
14 M. Mangraviti
6 M. Fares
5 T. van de Looi
39 M. Besaggio
23 N. Galazzi
3 M. Huard
30 M. Avella
21 R. Fogliata
16 R. Cartano
31 M. Ferro

Coach: R. Maran

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
30 S. Negro D
24 L. Carissoni D
16 A. Vita M
23 S. Branca M
8 F. Amatucci M
10 C. Cassano M
7 L. Pandolfi F
11 F. Pittarello F
Bench (11)
20 G. Carriero
5 V. Mastrantonio
32 T. Maistrello
92 E. Baldini
4 M. Angeli
17 E. Kornvig
27 A. Danzi
77 L. Maniero
9 A. Magrassi
28 A. Rizza
18 A. Tessiore

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
2,94
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.