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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Lecco
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Cosenza
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
58%
38%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
25 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecco 20. · Cosenza 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 24 15 6 3 +22 51
2 Cremonese 25 13 7 5 +16 46
3 Como 24 13 6 5 +8 45
4 Venezia 24 13 5 6 +14 44
5 Palermo 24 12 6 6 +13 42
6 Catanzaro 24 11 5 8 +4 38
7 Cittadella 24 10 6 8 +1 36
8 Modena 24 8 9 7 -3 33
9 Brescia 24 8 8 8 +1 32
10 Pisa 24 7 9 8 +0 30
11 Reggiana 24 6 12 6 -1 30
12 Bari 24 6 12 6 -3 30
13 Cosenza 24 7 8 9 +0 29
14 Sampdoria 24 8 5 11 -7 29
15 Sudtirol 24 7 6 11 -4 27
16 Ascoli 25 5 8 12 -7 23
17 Ternana 24 5 7 12 -6 22
18 Spezia 24 4 10 10 -15 22
19 FeralpiSalo 24 5 6 13 -13 21
20 Lecco 24 5 5 14 -20 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Oct -23 Cosenza – Lecco 3–0

Match report

Lecco Cosenza
4′
G. Tutino 0–1
F. Forte
6′
ℹ️ Gennaro Tutino
VAR: Goal confirmed
Marco Frigerio 🟨
19′
Elio Capradossi 🟨
22′
Giovanni Crociata 🟨
27′
38′
🟨 Bright Gyamfi
Franco Lepore 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
N. Buso 🔁
↦ E. Salcedo
46′
V. Parigini 🔁
↦ M. Frigerio
46′
48′
G. Tutino 0–2
54′
G. Frabotta 0–3
A. Sersanti 🔁
↦ G. Crociata
61′
D. Degli Innocenti 🔁
↦ G. Galli
61′
0–4 M. Venturi
own goal
61′
65′
🟨 Michele Camporese
65′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ L. Canotto
72′
🟨 Gianluca Frabotta
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
75′
77′
🔁 B. Cimino
↦ B. Gyamfi
77′
🔁 I. Voca
↦ F. Zuccon
81′
🔁 M. Viviani
↦ M. Praszelik
82′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ G. Tutino
Alessandro Sersanti 🟨
83′
87′
🟨 Michael Venturi
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Lecco

4-3-1-2
22 U. Saracco G
44 D. Guglielmotti D
68 M. Ierardi D
13 E. Capradossi D
32 F. Lepore D
26 M. Frigerio M
96 G. Galli M
27 A. Ioniţă M
21 G. Crociata M
10 E. Salcedo F
90 A. Novakovich F
Bench (12)
99 N. Buso
14 V. Parigini
8 A. Sersanti
5 D. Degli Innocenti
45 R. Inglese
29 M. Listkowski
4 Z. Smajlović
17 A. Caporale
1 R. Melgrati
2 V. Celjak
81 G. Beretta
83 M. Lemmens

Coach: A. Aglietti

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
18 B. Gyamfi D
5 M. Camporese D
23 M. Venturi D
99 G. Frabotta D
98 F. Zuccon M
26 M. Praszelik M
31 L. Canotto M
10 F. Forte M
30 S. Mazzocchi M
9 G. Tutino F
Bench (10)
34 A. Florenzi
17 B. Cimino
42 I. Voca
24 M. Viviani
19 V. Crespi
16 M. Antonucci
6 A. Fontanarosa
77 L. Marson
11 T. D'Orazio
14 G. Calò

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
3,14
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.