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Bundesliga
Referee: A Untergasser
4–1
Full-time
Tirol
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 8. · Tirol 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 18 12 4 2 +24 40
2 Sturm Graz 18 11 5 2 +16 38
3 LASK 18 9 6 3 +10 33
4 Hartberg 18 8 5 5 +5 29
5 SK Rapid 18 7 6 5 +14 27
6 A. Klagenfurt 18 6 9 3 +0 27
7 Austria Vienna 18 6 6 6 +2 24
8 Wolfsberger AC 18 6 5 7 -3 23
9 BW Linz 18 4 6 8 -11 18
10 Altach 18 4 5 9 -11 17
11 Tirol 18 3 2 13 -16 11
12 A. Lustenau 18 1 3 14 -30 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Tirol
1–0 T. Ballo ⚽
A. Boakye
8′
18′
🟨 Felix Bacher
2–0 T. Ballo ⚽
A. Boakye
30′
Augustine Boakye 🟨
32′
45′
🟨 Luca Kronberger
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Ranacher
↦ L. Kronberger
3–0 B. Zimmermann ⚽
T. Ballo
50′
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ A. Boakye
60′
68′
🔁 T. Geris
↦ K. Schulz
69′
🔁 C. Üstündag
↦ B. Blume
69′
🔁 J. Forst
↦ A. Buksa
T. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ B. Zimmermann
73′
75′
⚽ O. Okungbowa 3–1
S. Piesinger 🔁
↦ J. Scherzer
81′
P. Müller 🔁
↦ T. Ballo
81′
81′
🔁 S. Škrbo
↦ S. Ogrinec
Lukas Ibertsberger 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Felix Bacher
86′
🟥 Felix Bacher
88′
🟨 Adam Stejskal
4–1 A. Jašić ⚽
88′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-3
1 H. Bonmann G
22 D. Baumgartner D
44 E. Omić D
3 J. Scherzer D
97 A. Jašić M
19 S. Altunashvili M
6 S. Tijani M
26 L. Ibertsberger M
20 A. Boakye F
9 B. Zimmermann F
11 T. Ballo F
Bench (7)
23 F. Rieder
10 T. Sabitzer
8 S. Piesinger
14 P. Müller
15 M. Morgenstern
13 T. Gruber
32 L. Gütlbauer

Coach: M. Schmid

Tirol

4-3-3
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
44 K. Schulz D
98 S. Ogrinec M
10 B. Blume M
30 M. Taferner M
9 N. Prelec F
11 A. Buksa F
7 L. Kronberger F
Bench (7)
14 A. Ranacher
28 T. Geris
20 C. Üstündag
19 J. Forst
23 S. Škrbo
3 D. Gugganig
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.