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Eredivisie
Referee: M Vos
Zwolle
U U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Almere City
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Almere City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
62%
57%
Both score Ø 53%
62%
43%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 0,13
63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 9. · Almere City 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 20 2 0 +60 +49.0 62
2 Feyenoord 21 15 4 2 +38 +42.7 49
3 Twente 21 13 5 3 +21 +11.4 44
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 11 6 5 +20 +12.4 39
5 Ajax 21 10 5 6 +10 +8.4 35
6 Go Ahead Eagles 20 8 6 6 +6 -4.9 30
7 Sparta Rotterdam 22 8 5 9 -2 -5.6 29
8 Nijmegen 20 7 7 6 +4 -10.3 28
9 Zwolle 21 7 6 8 -2 -7.1 27
10 Utrecht 21 6 8 7 -3 -6.4 26
11 Heerenveen 21 7 4 10 -8 -4.2 25
12 Almere City 21 6 6 9 -16 -10.3 24
13 For Sittard 22 6 6 10 -17 -0.3 24
14 Heracles 22 6 4 12 -23 -18.1 22
15 Excelsior 22 4 9 9 -10 -10.1 21
16 Waalwijk 21 5 3 13 -18 -8.0 18
17 Volendam 21 3 3 15 -30 -18.7 12
18 Vitesse 21 3 3 15 -30 -19.8 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Sep -23 Almere City – Zwolle 1–2

Match report

Zwolle Almere City
S. van der Water 🔁
↦ K. de Rooij
20′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Joey Jacobs
60′
🔁 R. van La Parra
↦ J. van Duiven
60′
🔁 T. Barbet
↦ J. Jacobs
61′
🔁 H. Akujobi
↦ Álvaro Peña
69′
T. Robinet 0–1
S. Resink
F. Krastev 🔁
↦ E. Reijnders
73′
A. Vellios 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
73′
79′
🟨 Peer Koopmeiners
81′
🟨 Stije Resink
91′
🔁 D. van Bruggen
↦ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
91′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ Y. Cathline
95′
🟨 Hamdi Akujobi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
23 E. Reijnders D
4 S. Kersten D
13 T. Lam D
15 A. MacNulty D
6 A. El Azzouzi M
11 D. van den Berg M
7 Y. Namli M
18 O. Velanas M
22 K. de Rooij M
9 L. Thy F
Bench (11)
8 S. van der Water
50 F. Krastev
14 A. Vellios
20 L. Czyborra
33 D. van der Haar
40 M. Hauptmeijer
3 L. Görlich
25 K. Vermeer
17 A. Fontana
38 T. Gijselhart
16 D. Bobson

Coach: J. Jansen

Almere City

3-1-4-2
1 N. Bakker G
3 J. Jacobs D
5 L. Mbe Soh D
2 S. Floranus D
15 P. Koopmeiners M
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp M
28 S. Resink M
6 Álvaro Peña M
19 Y. Cathline M
7 J. van Duiven F
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (12)
27 R. van La Parra
22 T. Barbet
20 H. Akujobi
4 D. van Bruggen
17 K. Hansen
18 S. Şahin-Radlinger
8 D. Post
16 A. Nalić
21 M. Corryn
26 S. Keller
11 Y. Kitala
24 F. Mattoir

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,44
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Vos · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.