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Serie B

Referee: M Monaldi

Ternana

S S T U T

3–1

Full-time

Cittadella

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

60%

45%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

55%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 17. · Cittadella 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	21	13	6	2	+23	45
2	Venezia	20	11	5	4	+13	38
3	Como	20	11	5	4	+8	38
4	Cittadella	20	10	6	4	+7	36
5	Cremonese	20	10	5	5	+13	35
6	Catanzaro	20	10	3	7	+6	33
7	Palermo	20	9	5	6	+7	32
8	Brescia	20	7	7	6	+1	28
9	Modena	20	7	7	6	-4	28
10	Bari	20	5	11	4	+0	26
11	Sampdoria	21	7	4	10	-6	25
12	Reggiana	20	5	9	6	-3	24
13	Sudtirol	20	6	5	9	-1	23
14	Pisa	20	5	8	7	-3	23
15	Cosenza	20	5	6	9	-3	21
16	Lecco	20	5	5	10	-11	20
17	Ternana	20	4	6	10	-6	18
18	Ascoli	20	4	6	10	-7	18
19	Spezia	20	3	8	9	-15	17
20	FeralpiSalo	20	3	5	12	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	6	5	0	+10	23
2	Venezia	11	7	2	2	+8	23
3	Cittadella	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Como	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Catanzaro	10	6	1	3	+6	19
6	Cremonese	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Palermo	10	5	1	4	+3	16
8	Bari	10	3	6	1	+1	15
9	Modena	10	4	2	4	-2	14
10	Sampdoria	11	4	1	6	-3	13
11	Cosenza	10	3	3	4	+3	12
12	Sudtirol	10	3	3	4	+1	12
13	Reggiana	10	2	6	2	-1	12
14	Brescia	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Ascoli	9	3	2	4	+1	11
16	Pisa	10	2	5	3	-1	11
17	Ternana	10	2	4	4	+0	10
18	Lecco	9	3	1	5	-4	10
19	Spezia	9	1	5	3	-2	8
20	FeralpiSalo	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Cremonese	9	5	2	2	+6	17
3	Como	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Palermo	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Venezia	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Catanzaro	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Modena	10	3	5	2	-2	14
9	Cittadella	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Pisa	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Bari	10	2	5	3	-1	11
14	Sudtirol	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Lecco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Cosenza	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Spezia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Ternana	10	2	2	6	-6	8
19	FeralpiSalo	11	2	2	7	-12	8
20	Ascoli	11	1	4	6	-8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.