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Serie B

Referee: M Mariani

Pisa

T S U U S

2–3

Full-time

Spezia

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 53%

62%

43%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

66% Possession 34%

27 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 10

14 Corners 0

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 16

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pisa 12. · Spezia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	22	13	6	3	+20	45
2	Cremonese	22	12	5	5	+15	41
3	Venezia	22	12	5	5	+12	41
4	Como	22	11	6	5	+6	39
5	Palermo	22	10	6	6	+9	36
6	Cittadella	21	10	6	5	+5	36
7	Catanzaro	22	10	4	8	+3	34
8	Modena	22	8	7	7	-3	31
9	Brescia	22	7	8	7	+0	29
10	Cosenza	22	7	6	9	+0	27
11	Bari	21	5	12	4	+0	27
12	Pisa	21	6	8	7	-1	26
13	Reggiana	21	5	10	6	-3	25
14	Sampdoria	21	7	4	10	-6	25
15	Sudtirol	22	6	6	10	-2	24
16	Ascoli	22	5	7	10	-5	22
17	Ternana	22	5	6	11	-5	21
18	Lecco	21	5	5	11	-13	20
19	FeralpiSalo	21	4	5	12	-16	17
20	Spezia	21	3	8	10	-16	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
2	Parma	11	6	5	0	+10	23
3	Cittadella	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Cremonese	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	Como	11	6	3	2	+5	21
6	Catanzaro	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Palermo	11	6	1	4	+5	19
8	Modena	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Cosenza	11	4	3	4	+5	15
10	Bari	10	3	6	1	+1	15
11	Ternana	11	3	4	4	+2	13
12	Reggiana	11	2	7	2	-1	13
13	Brescia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Sampdoria	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+1	12
16	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	+0	12
17	Pisa	10	2	5	3	-1	11
18	Lecco	10	3	1	6	-6	10
19	FeralpiSalo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
20	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	7	1	3	+10	22
2	Cremonese	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Palermo	11	4	5	2	+4	17
5	Brescia	11	4	4	3	+2	16
6	Venezia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Pisa	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Catanzaro	11	4	2	5	-3	14
9	Modena	11	3	5	3	-4	14
10	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-2	13
11	Bari	11	2	6	3	-1	12
12	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Cosenza	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Ascoli	12	2	4	6	-6	10
17	Lecco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Spezia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
19	Ternana	11	2	2	7	-7	8
20	FeralpiSalo	11	2	2	7	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.