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Serie B
Referee: F Fourneau
Cittadella
U S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
48%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 6. · Sampdoria 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 22 13 6 3 +20 45
2 Cremonese 22 12 5 5 +15 41
3 Venezia 22 12 5 5 +12 41
4 Como 22 11 6 5 +6 39
5 Palermo 22 10 6 6 +9 36
6 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Modena 22 8 7 7 -3 31
9 Brescia 22 7 8 7 +0 29
10 Reggiana 22 6 10 6 -1 28
11 Cosenza 22 7 6 9 +0 27
12 Bari 22 5 12 5 -2 27
13 Pisa 22 6 8 8 -2 26
14 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
15 Sudtirol 22 6 6 10 -2 24
16 Ascoli 22 5 7 10 -5 22
17 Ternana 22 5 6 11 -5 21
18 FeralpiSalo 22 5 5 12 -12 20
19 Spezia 22 4 8 10 -15 20
20 Lecco 22 5 5 12 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U
3,17
B ✓
3,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.