Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cittadella
Sampdoria
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Parma
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +20 | 45 |
| 2 |
Cremonese
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +15 | 41 |
| 3 |
Venezia
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +12 | 41 |
| 4 |
Como
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +6 | 39 |
| 5 |
Palermo
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +9 | 36 |
| 6 |
Cittadella
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 |
Catanzaro
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +3 | 34 |
| 8 |
Modena
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 |
Brescia
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +0 | 29 |
| 10 |
Reggiana
|
22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 |
Cosenza
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 27 |
| 12 |
Bari
|
22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | -2 | 27 |
| 13 |
Pisa
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 |
Sampdoria
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 |
Sudtirol
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -2 | 24 |
| 16 |
Ascoli
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 17 |
Ternana
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 21 |
| 18 |
FeralpiSalo
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -12 | 20 |
| 19 |
Spezia
|
22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -15 | 20 |
| 20 |
Lecco
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ternana
Cittadella
Cittadella
Palermo
Ascoli
Cittadella
Cittadella
Spezia
Modena
Cittadella
F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.