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Serie B
Referee: G Aureliano
Palermo
T S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Como
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 52%
50%
54%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 8
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 5. · Como 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 25 16 6 3 +23 54
2 Cremonese 25 13 7 5 +16 46
3 Como 24 13 6 5 +8 45
4 Venezia 24 13 5 6 +14 44
5 Palermo 24 12 6 6 +13 42
6 Catanzaro 24 11 5 8 +4 38
7 Cittadella 25 10 6 9 -1 36
8 Bari 25 7 12 6 -2 33
9 Modena 24 8 9 7 -3 33
10 Cosenza 25 8 8 9 +2 32
11 Brescia 24 8 8 8 +1 32
12 Pisa 25 7 9 9 -1 30
13 Reggiana 25 6 12 7 -3 30
14 Sampdoria 24 8 5 11 -7 29
15 Sudtirol 24 7 6 11 -4 27
16 Ternana 25 6 7 12 -4 25
17 Spezia 25 5 10 10 -13 25
18 Ascoli 25 5 8 12 -7 23
19 FeralpiSalo 25 5 6 14 -14 21
20 Lecco 25 5 5 15 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Como
12′
🟨 Alessandro Bellemo
19′
🔁 B. Kone
↦ D. Baselli
1–0 M. Brunori
F. Di Mariano
35′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ B. Kone
55′
🟨 Marco Curto
2–0 F. Ranocchia
64′
Francesco Di Mariano 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 M. Chajia
↦ S. Verdi
69′
🔁 S. Ballet
↦ A. Gabrielloni
69′
🔁 J. Nsame
↦ M. Curto
A. Vasić 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
72′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ F. Ranocchia
72′
3–0 F. Di Francesco
M. Brunori
83′
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ M. Brunori
87′
R. Insigne 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
87′
88′
🟨 Samuel Ballet
C. Traorè 🔁
↦ J. Segre
91′
Full-time 3–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,36
B
3,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.