Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Palermo
Como
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Parma
|
25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 |
Cremonese
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | +16 | 46 |
| 3 |
Como
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +8 | 45 |
| 4 |
Venezia
|
24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 44 |
| 5 |
Palermo
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 |
Catanzaro
|
24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | +4 | 38 |
| 7 |
Cittadella
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Bari
|
25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | -2 | 33 |
| 9 |
Modena
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 |
Cosenza
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 |
Brescia
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +1 | 32 |
| 12 |
Pisa
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 |
Reggiana
|
25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 |
Sampdoria
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 |
Sudtirol
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 27 |
| 16 |
Ternana
|
25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 25 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -13 | 25 |
| 18 |
Ascoli
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -7 | 23 |
| 19 |
FeralpiSalo
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -14 | 21 |
| 20 |
Lecco
|
25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -22 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
FeralpiSalo
Palermo
Palermo
Bari
Catanzaro
Palermo
Palermo
Modena
Cittadella
Palermo
G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.