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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Troyes
S T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Grenoble
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 16. · Grenoble 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 24 13 8 3 +23 47
2 Angers 25 14 4 7 +12 46
3 Grenoble 24 10 10 4 +11 40
4 Laval 24 11 7 6 +3 40
5 St Etienne 25 11 5 9 +7 38
6 Caen 24 10 6 8 +2 36
7 Ajaccio 24 10 6 8 +1 36
8 Amiens 24 9 8 7 -3 35
9 Pau FC 24 8 10 6 +1 34
10 Paris FC 24 9 6 9 +1 33
11 Guingamp 24 8 8 8 +2 32
12 Rodez 24 8 8 8 +1 32
13 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -4 32
14 Concarneau 24 9 4 11 -5 31
15 Bastia 24 8 6 10 -1 30
16 Troyes 24 6 9 9 -6 27
17 Dunkerque 24 6 6 12 -15 24
18 Annecy 24 5 8 11 -8 23
19 Quevilly Rouen 24 4 9 11 -5 21
20 Valenciennes 24 2 9 13 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Grenoble
Mouhamed Diop 🟨
27′
1–0 R. Ripart
31′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Abdoulie Sanyang
2–0 S. Elisor
R. Ripart
57′
65′
🔁 N. Mbemba
↦ D. Rigo
65′
🔁 A. Sbaï
↦ A. Sanyang
66′
🔁 V. Postolachi
↦ L. Joseph
R. Saïd 🔁
↦ M. Bangré
69′
72′
🟨 Adrien Monfray
3–0 R. Saïd
72′
76′
P. Meïssa Ba 3–1
79′
🔁 S. Touray
↦ T. Valls
79′
🔁 M. Tourraine
↦ G. Paquiez
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ Y. MChangama
83′
T. Zoukrou 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
4 E. Ntim D
5 M. Tahrat D
3 A. N'Diaye D
12 Abdu Conté D
28 M. Diop M
42 A. Kanté M
7 M. Bangré M
10 Y. M'Changama M
20 R. Ripart M
14 S. Elisor F
Bench (7)
11 R. Saïd
15 A. Palaversa
22 T. Zoukrou
30 Z. Boucher
23 J. Olaïtan
36 R. Kohon
27 K. Dong

Coach: D. Guion

Grenoble

4-3-3
1 B. Maubleu G
29 G. Paquiez D
5 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diarra D
27 M. Xantippe D
10 E. Sylvestre M
6 D. Rigo M
25 T. Valls M
19 L. Joseph F
7 P. Meïssa Ba F
2 A. Sanyang F
Bench (7)
31 N. Mbemba
11 A. Sbaï
17 V. Postolachi
70 S. Touray
39 M. Tourraine
13 M. Diop
14 L. Nestor

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,16
U
3,28
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.