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Ligue 2
Referee: B Dechepy
Bastia
S T T S S
0–2
Full-time
Rodez
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 4
6 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 15. · Rodez 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 24 13 8 3 +23 47
2 Angers 25 14 4 7 +12 46
3 Grenoble 24 10 10 4 +11 40
4 Laval 24 11 7 6 +3 40
5 St Etienne 25 11 5 9 +7 38
6 Caen 24 10 6 8 +2 36
7 Ajaccio 24 10 6 8 +1 36
8 Amiens 24 9 8 7 -3 35
9 Pau FC 24 8 10 6 +1 34
10 Paris FC 24 9 6 9 +1 33
11 Guingamp 24 8 8 8 +2 32
12 Rodez 24 8 8 8 +1 32
13 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -4 32
14 Concarneau 24 9 4 11 -5 31
15 Bastia 24 8 6 10 -1 30
16 Troyes 24 6 9 9 -6 27
17 Dunkerque 24 6 6 12 -15 24
18 Annecy 24 5 8 11 -8 23
19 Quevilly Rouen 24 4 9 11 -5 21
20 Valenciennes 24 2 9 13 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Rodez
35′
G. Haag 0–1
B. Danger
Half-time 0–1
Christophe Vincent 🟨
47′
55′
A. Hountondji 0–2
W. Taïbi
Migouel Alfarela 🟨
68′
F. Conté 🔁
↦ G. Charbonnier
69′
F. Bianchini 🔁
↦ C. Vincent
69′
72′
🔁 Y. Verdier
↦ A. Hountondji
73′
🔁 L. Rajot
↦ W. Younoussa
M. Siby 🔁
↦ T. Ducrocq
77′
Dylan Tavares 🔁
↦ C. Traoré
85′
F. Tomi 🔁
↦ M. Alfarela
85′
87′
🔁 A. Abdallah
↦ R. Lipinski
87′
🔁 D. Sylla
↦ L. Buadés
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
95 C. Keita D
99 Y. Okou D
22 C. Traoré D
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
7 C. Vincent M
14 G. Charbonnier M
9 B. Santelli M
10 M. Alfarela F
Bench (7)
31 F. Conté
17 F. Bianchini
26 M. Siby
42 Dylan Tavares
18 F. Tomi
4 A. Roncaglia
23 J. Fabri

Coach: L. Laslandes

Rodez

3-4-1-2
1 S. Cibois G
5 K. Boma D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
14 B. Danger D
19 L. Buadés M
7 W. Younoussa M
24 G. Haag M
3 R. Lipinski M
10 W. Taïbi F
12 K. Corredor F
17 A. Hountondji F
Bench (7)
26 Y. Verdier
8 L. Rajot
28 A. Abdallah
11 D. Sylla
6 A. Ngouyamsa
18 A. Valério
30 E. Crombez

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U
3,12
B ✓
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.