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Pro League

Referee: M Allaerts

Genk

S S U T U

3–1

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 15/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

60%

75%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,49 xG 0,81

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 8

6 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · RWD Molenbeek 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	16	13	2	1	+22	+17.8	41
2	Club Brugge	18	11	4	3	+31	+31.9	37
3	Cercle Brugge	16	12	1	3	+17	+12.3	37
4	Anderlecht	16	10	5	1	+16	+10.4	35
5	Antwerp	16	8	6	2	+25	+17.5	30
6	Genk	15	6	6	3	+16	+18.9	24
7	Gent	15	6	5	4	+5	+7.4	23
8	Mechelen	17	6	5	6	+0	-2.4	23
9	Westerlo	18	5	5	8	-5	-7.3	20
10	Standard	17	4	7	6	-7	-9.1	19
11	St Truiden	16	4	6	6	-10	-6.3	18
12	RWD Molenbeek	20	4	5	11	-26	-26.6	17
13	Charleroi	19	3	5	11	-17	-11.9	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	3	4	9	-10	-5.3	13
15	Kortrijk	20	3	4	13	-29	-20.7	13
16	Eupen	19	3	2	14	-28	-26.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	1	0	+15	+10.8	22
2	Cercle Brugge	8	7	1	0	+14	+10.2	22
3	Club Brugge	9	6	3	0	+19	+17.5	21
4	Anderlecht	7	6	1	0	+10	+7.9	19
5	Antwerp	8	5	3	0	+19	+13.4	18
6	Mechelen	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.4	16
7	Gent	8	4	3	1	+6	+6.1	15
8	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
9	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
10	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
11	Charleroi	10	3	3	4	-5	+0.1	12
12	RWD Molenbeek	10	3	3	4	-9	-10.2	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	2	3	+4	-1.9	11
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Kortrijk	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.6	9
16	Eupen	9	2	1	6	-10	-10.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.5	16
4	Cercle Brugge	8	5	0	3	+3	+2.1	15
5	Genk	8	3	3	2	+7	+7.1	12
6	Antwerp	8	3	3	2	+6	+4.2	12
7	Gent	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.2	8
8	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
9	Standard	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.8	8
10	Mechelen	8	2	1	5	-6	-4.8	7
11	St Truiden	7	1	3	3	-6	-5.2	6
12	RWD Molenbeek	10	1	2	7	-17	-16.4	5
13	Eupen	10	1	1	8	-18	-16.4	4
14	Kortrijk	10	1	1	8	-21	-16.1	4
15	Charleroi	9	0	2	7	-12	-12.0	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-14	-3.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.