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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Celtic
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 56%
76%
36%
Points per game
2,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
68%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 19 4 2 +40 61
2 Rangers 25 20 1 4 +40 61
3 Hearts 25 15 3 7 +11 48
4 Kilmarnock 25 9 9 7 +2 36
5 St Mirren 25 10 5 10 +0 35
6 Dundee 25 8 8 9 -4 32
7 Motherwell 25 5 11 9 -4 26
8 Hibernian 24 6 8 10 -10 26
9 Aberdeen 24 6 8 10 -10 26
10 ST Johnstone 25 5 9 11 -15 24
11 Ross County 25 4 7 14 -23 19
12 Livingston 25 2 7 16 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Dec -23 Kilmarnock – Celtic 2–1 7. Oct -23 Celtic – Kilmarnock 3–1 16. Apr -23 Kilmarnock – Celtic 1–4 7. Jan -23 Celtic – Kilmarnock 2–0 14. Aug -22 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–5

Match report

Celtic Kilmarnock
21′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
1–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
A. Ralston
32′
38′
🟨 Lewis Mayo
Half-time 1–0
Yang Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ L. Palma
46′
A. Bernabéi 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
61′
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ A. Idah
67′
N. Kühn 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
68′
68′
🔁 J. Balagizi
↦ K. Vassell
73′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
73′
🔁 G. Stewart
↦ D. Armstrong
73′
🔁 K. van Veen
↦ M. Watkins
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
80′
85′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ M. Kennedy
85′
🔁 D. Watson
↦ L. Polworth
92′
⚽ D. Watson 1–1
F. Murray
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-4-1-1
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
57 S. Welsh D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
38 D. Maeda M
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
7 L. Palma M
8 K. Furuhashi F
9 A. Idah F
Bench (9)
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
25 A. Bernabéi
28 Paulo Bernardo
10 N. Kühn
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
48 D. Kelly
29 S. Bain
24 T. Iwata
17 M. Nawrocki

Coach: B. Rodgers

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
31 L. Polworth M
22 L. Donnelly M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
14 J. Balagizi
21 G. Stewart
99 K. van Veen
15 F. Murray
12 D. Watson
39 G. Mackay-Steven
19 T. Davies
20 K. O'Hara
7 R. McKenzie

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,21
🔒
U ✓
6,53
🔒
B
12,49
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,48
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,56
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.