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Serie B

Spezia

U S U U S

1–1

Full-time

Cittadella

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

42%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

44%

37%

Both score Ø 46%

44%

47%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

8 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

0 Corners 1

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 13. · Cittadella 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	19	14	4	1	+25	46
2	Pordenone	20	10	5	5	+4	35
3	Crotone	19	9	4	6	+9	31
4	Virtus Entella	20	8	6	6	+3	30
5	Chievo	20	7	8	5	+4	29
6	Cittadella	19	8	5	6	-1	29
7	Frosinone	20	7	7	6	+5	28
8	Ascoli	20	8	3	9	-1	27
9	Perugia	20	7	6	7	-3	27
10	Juve Stabia	20	8	3	9	-6	27
11	Pescara	19	7	5	7	+3	26
12	Salernitana	19	7	5	7	+2	26
13	Spezia	18	6	6	6	+2	24
14	Pisa	19	6	6	7	+0	24
15	Venezia	20	5	8	7	-4	23
16	Empoli	20	5	8	7	-6	23
17	Cremonese	19	5	7	7	-7	22
18	Cosenza	19	4	8	7	+0	20
19	Trapani	20	4	6	10	-15	18
20	Livorno	20	3	4	13	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Pordenone	10	8	2	0	+13	26
3	Ascoli	9	7	1	1	+9	22
4	Frosinone	10	6	3	1	+12	21
5	Crotone	10	6	3	1	+10	21
6	Juve Stabia	11	6	1	4	+0	19
7	Chievo	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	Perugia	10	5	3	2	+5	18
9	Virtus Entella	9	5	3	1	+5	18
10	Empoli	10	4	5	1	+5	17
11	Salernitana	9	4	4	1	+6	16
12	Cremonese	10	4	4	2	+1	16
13	Pisa	10	4	3	3	+2	15
14	Cittadella	10	4	3	3	-2	15
15	Pescara	10	3	5	2	+5	14
16	Spezia	9	4	2	3	+3	14
17	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	+0	10
18	Trapani	10	2	4	4	-2	10
19	Livorno	10	3	1	6	-5	10
20	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	9	5	3	1	+4	18
2	Venezia	11	3	6	2	+1	15
3	Cittadella	9	4	2	3	+1	14
4	Virtus Entella	11	3	3	5	-2	12
5	Pescara	9	4	0	5	-2	12
6	Chievo	10	2	5	3	-1	11
7	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	+0	10
8	Crotone	9	3	1	5	-1	10
9	Spezia	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Salernitana	10	3	1	6	-4	10
11	Pisa	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Perugia	10	2	3	5	-8	9
13	Pordenone	10	2	3	5	-9	9
14	Juve Stabia	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Trapani	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Frosinone	10	1	4	5	-7	7
17	Cremonese	9	1	3	5	-8	6
18	Empoli	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Ascoli	11	1	2	8	-10	5
20	Livorno	10	0	3	7	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.