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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Aberdeen
T U U T U
2–2
Full-time
Hibernian
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
22 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 10
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 9. · Hibernian 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 19 4 2 +40 61
2 Rangers 25 20 1 4 +40 61
3 Hearts 25 15 3 7 +11 48
4 Kilmarnock 25 9 9 7 +2 36
5 St Mirren 25 10 5 10 +0 35
6 Dundee 25 8 8 9 -4 32
7 Motherwell 25 5 11 9 -4 26
8 Hibernian 24 6 8 10 -10 26
9 Aberdeen 24 6 8 10 -10 26
10 ST Johnstone 25 5 9 11 -15 24
11 Ross County 25 4 7 14 -23 19
12 Livingston 25 2 7 16 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Dec -23 Hibernian – Aberdeen 2–0 3. Sep -23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–2 13. May -23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–0 28. Jan -23 Hibernian – Aberdeen 6–0 4. Nov -22 Aberdeen – Hibernian 4–1

Match report

Aberdeen Hibernian
12′
⚽ M. Boyle 0–1
M. Maolida
1–1 N. Devlin ⚽
15′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. McGrath ⚽
51′
57′
🔁 E. Marcondes
↦ N. Moriah-Welsh
57′
🔁 Jair Tavares
↦ É. Youan
Graeme Shinnie 🟨
59′
67′
⚽ E. Marcondes 2–2
J. Newell
69′
ℹ️ Joe Newell
VAR: Goal confirmed
72′
🟨 Emiliano Marcondes
75′
🔁 L. Amos
↦ D. Levitt
78′
🟨 William Fish
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
79′
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ Duk
79′
82′
🔁 J. Wollacott
↦ D. Marshall
83′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ M. Boyle
100′
🟨 Jordan Obita
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-3-3
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
5 R. Jensen D
3 J. MacKenzie D
8 C. Barron M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
7 J. McGrath F
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
18 K. Phillips
30 J. Hoilett
23 R. Duncan
21 D. Polvara
27 A. MacDonald
17 J. Hayes
19 E. Sokler
31 R. Doohan
28 J. Milne

Coach: N. Warnock

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
23 N. Triantis D
21 J. Obita D
11 J. Newell M
10 M. Boyle M
30 N. Moriah-Welsh M
6 D. Levitt M
7 É. Youan M
17 M. Maolida F
Bench (9)
20 E. Marcondes
29 Jair Tavares
15 L. Amos
13 J. Wollacott
19 A. Le Fondre
33 R. Bushiri
4 P. Hanlon
9 D. Vente
16 L. Stevenson

Coach: N. Montgomery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
🔒
U ✓
3,43
🔒
B
3,12
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,85
🔒
U2,5
1,93
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.