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Serie B

Referee: G Ayroldi

Cittadella

U S T T T

1–2

Full-time

Parma

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 52%

43%

61%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%

23 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 6. · Parma 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	23	14	6	3	+21	48
2	Como	24	13	6	5	+8	45
3	Cremonese	23	13	5	5	+16	44
4	Venezia	23	12	5	6	+11	41
5	Palermo	23	11	6	6	+12	39
6	Cittadella	23	10	6	7	+2	36
7	Catanzaro	23	10	5	8	+3	35
8	Brescia	24	8	8	8	+1	32
9	Modena	23	8	8	7	-3	32
10	Reggiana	23	6	11	6	-1	29
11	Sampdoria	23	8	5	10	-5	29
12	Cosenza	23	7	7	9	+0	28
13	Sudtirol	23	7	6	10	-1	27
14	Pisa	23	6	9	8	-2	27
15	Bari	23	5	12	6	-5	27
16	Ascoli	23	5	7	11	-6	22
17	Ternana	23	5	6	12	-6	21
18	FeralpiSalo	23	5	6	12	-12	21
19	Spezia	23	4	9	10	-15	21
20	Lecco	23	5	5	13	-18	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	7	5	0	+11	26
2	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Como	12	7	3	2	+6	24
4	Cittadella	12	7	2	3	+6	23
5	Palermo	12	7	1	4	+8	22
6	Cremonese	12	6	3	3	+8	21
7	Catanzaro	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Modena	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+5	16
10	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Bari	11	3	6	2	-1	15
12	Reggiana	12	2	8	2	-1	14
13	Sampdoria	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	Ternana	12	3	4	5	+1	13
15	FeralpiSalo	11	3	3	5	+0	12
16	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	+0	12
17	Ascoli	11	3	3	5	+0	12
18	Pisa	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Lecco	11	3	1	7	-7	10
20	Spezia	11	1	6	4	-3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	11	7	2	2	+8	23
2	Parma	11	7	1	3	+10	22
3	Como	12	6	3	3	+2	21
4	Palermo	11	4	5	2	+4	17
5	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
6	Pisa	12	4	4	4	+0	16
7	Venezia	11	4	3	4	+2	15
8	Reggiana	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Sudtirol	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	-2	15
11	Catanzaro	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Modena	12	3	6	3	-4	15
13	Cittadella	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Bari	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Cosenza	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Spezia	12	3	3	6	-12	12
17	Ascoli	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Lecco	12	2	4	6	-11	10
19	FeralpiSalo	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Ternana	11	2	2	7	-7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.