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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Grasshoppers

T S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Basel

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

30%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,12 xG 0,97

31% Possession 69%

9 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grasshoppers 10. · Basel 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	23	14	6	3	+28	+1.2	48
2	Servette	23	11	8	4	+12	+13.9	41
3	St. Gallen	24	11	4	9	+6	+10.6	37
4	Zurich	23	9	9	5	+11	+2.3	36
5	Lugano	23	10	4	9	+5	+5.5	34
6	Luzern	23	10	4	9	-2	+1.7	34
7	Winterthur	24	9	6	9	-5	-4.2	33
8	Yverdon	24	8	6	10	-16	-11.1	30
9	Basel	23	8	4	11	-7	-6.3	28
10	Grasshoppers	23	7	4	12	-1	-7.2	25
11	Lausanne	24	6	7	11	-6	+3.7	25
12	Lausanne Ouchy	23	3	6	14	-25	-10.1	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	11	9	2	0	+24	+3.7	29
2	St. Gallen	12	9	1	2	+12	+5.9	28
3	Luzern	11	8	1	2	+7	+3.2	25
4	Yverdon	12	7	3	2	+3	-0.8	24
5	Zurich	12	6	5	1	+8	+1.0	23
6	Servette	11	6	4	1	+10	+6.9	22
7	Winterthur	12	6	3	3	+1	+0.9	21
8	Lausanne	12	5	3	4	+4	+1.6	18
9	Lugano	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.4	18
10	Grasshoppers	11	5	2	4	+7	-1.9	17
11	Basel	12	5	2	5	+1	-3.8	17
12	Lausanne Ouchy	12	1	5	6	-15	-4.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	+4	-2.5	19
2	Servette	12	5	4	3	+2	+7.0	19
3	Lugano	11	5	1	5	+3	+3.2	16
4	Zurich	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.2	13
5	Winterthur	12	3	3	6	-6	-5.2	12
6	Basel	11	3	2	6	-8	-2.5	11
7	St. Gallen	12	2	3	7	-6	+4.7	9
8	Luzern	12	2	3	7	-9	-1.5	9
9	Grasshoppers	12	2	2	8	-8	-5.3	8
10	Lausanne	12	1	4	7	-10	+2.1	7
11	Lausanne Ouchy	11	2	1	8	-10	-6.0	7
12	Yverdon	12	1	3	8	-19	-10.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.