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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Dunkerque
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Valenciennes
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 17%
25%
8%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 17. · Valenciennes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 24 13 8 3 +23 47
2 Angers 25 14 4 7 +12 46
3 Grenoble 24 10 10 4 +11 40
4 Laval 24 11 7 6 +3 40
5 St Etienne 25 11 5 9 +7 38
6 Caen 24 10 6 8 +2 36
7 Ajaccio 24 10 6 8 +1 36
8 Amiens 24 9 8 7 -3 35
9 Pau FC 24 8 10 6 +1 34
10 Paris FC 24 9 6 9 +1 33
11 Guingamp 24 8 8 8 +2 32
12 Rodez 24 8 8 8 +1 32
13 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -4 32
14 Concarneau 24 9 4 11 -5 31
15 Bastia 24 8 6 10 -1 30
16 Troyes 24 6 9 9 -6 27
17 Dunkerque 24 6 6 12 -15 24
18 Annecy 24 5 8 11 -8 23
19 Quevilly Rouen 24 4 9 11 -5 21
20 Valenciennes 24 2 9 13 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Valenciennes
1–0 G. Courtet
J. Anziani
10′
30′
I. Hamache 1–1
A. Knockaert
33′
🔁 A. Linguet
↦ H. Šabanović
45′
🟨 Joffrey Cuffaut
Half-time 1–1
A. Maurer 🔁
↦ A. Laaziri
62′
E. Bah 🔁
↦ G. Yassine
62′
65′
🔁 A. Boutoutaou
↦ A. Knockaert
65′
🔁 M. Ondoa
↦ S. Bansé
70′
🔁 A. Jung
↦ S. Doucouré
70′
🔁 M. Lilepo
↦ Flamarion
R. Ghrieb 🔁
↦ J. Anziani
82′
91′
🟨 Andrew Jung
Benjaloud Youssouf 🟨
94′
2–1 B. Youssouf
E. Bah
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-4-2
30 M. Koné G
19 B. Youssouf D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 B. Lagae D
7 Y. Bilingi D
80 G. Yassine M
25 J. Gbamin M
10 J. Anziani M
15 A. Laaziri M
18 G. Courtet F
20 E. Bardeli F
Bench (7)
92 A. Maurer
24 E. Bah
27 R. Ghrieb
13 J. Senneville
9 S. Baghdadi
1 L. Lavallée
5 R. Boissier

Coach: Luís Castro

Valenciennes

4-4-2
30 L. Diabaté G
2 H. Šabanović D
44 J. Sanda D
14 J. Cuffaut D
3 S. Basse D
93 A. Knockaert M
8 S. Bansé M
6 J. Masson M
96 Flamarion M
20 I. Hamache F
9 S. Doucouré F
Bench (7)
24 A. Linguet
17 A. Boutoutaou
59 M. Ondoa
18 A. Jung
34 M. Lilepo
16 J. Louchet
90 M. Oyewusi

Coach: A. Kantari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,13
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.