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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Pisa
U S U S U
3–0
Full-time
Brescia
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
53%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Pisa 8. · Brescia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 17 11 3 3 +15 36
2 Reggina 17 10 2 5 +13 32
3 Bari 17 7 8 2 +12 29
4 Genoa 17 7 6 4 +5 27
5 Parma 17 7 5 5 +6 26
6 Ternana 17 7 5 5 +2 26
7 Brescia 17 6 6 5 -3 24
8 Pisa 17 5 8 4 +6 23
9 Sudtirol 17 5 8 4 -3 23
10 Ascoli 17 5 7 5 +0 22
11 Cagliari 17 5 7 5 -1 22
12 Benevento 17 5 6 6 -1 21
13 Modena 17 6 3 8 -2 21
14 Palermo 17 5 5 7 -4 20
15 Venezia 17 5 4 8 -4 19
16 Cittadella 17 4 7 6 -7 19
17 Spal 17 3 8 6 -2 17
18 Cosenza 17 4 5 8 -11 17
19 Como 17 3 7 7 -10 16
20 Perugia 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Brescia
1–0 E. Torregrossa
4′
13′
🟨 Matthieu Huard
2–0 E. Gliozzi
O. Moruțan
20′
26′
🔁 A. Papetti
↦ A. Cistana
28′
🟨 Davide Adorni
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Fran Karačić
Arturo Calabresi 🟨
58′
61′
🔁 G. Olzer
↦ F. Ayé
61′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ N. Galazzi
63′
🟨 Davide Adorni
63′
🟥 Davide Adorni
65′
🟨 Giacomo Olzer
65′
🔁 M. Mangraviti
↦ S. Moreo
Tomás Esteves 🔁
↦ R. Jureškin
71′
G. Mastinu 🔁
↦ Á. Nagy
71′
G. Masucci 🔁
↦ E. Torregrossa
79′
M. Tramoni 🔁
↦ O. Moruțan
79′
A. De Vitis 🔁
↦ I. Touré
83′
3–0 E. Gliozzi
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Pisa

4-3-1-2
22 A. Livieri G
33 A. Calabresi D
6 H. Hermannsson D
93 F. Barba D
7 R. Jureškin D
15 I. Touré M
16 Á. Nagy M
8 M. Marin M
80 O. Moruțan M
9 E. Gliozzi F
10 E. Torregrossa F
Bench (12)
19 Tomás Esteves
18 G. Mastinu
26 G. Masucci
27 M. Tramoni
30 A. De Vitis
5 S. Canestrelli
77 L. Tramoni
17 G. Sibilli
36 G. Piccinini
44 A. Rus
23 A. Ioniţă
1 Nícolas

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Brescia

4-3-3
12 L. Lezzerini G
2 F. Karačić D
15 A. Cistana D
4 D. Adorni D
3 M. Huard D
5 T. van de Looi M
7 F. Viviani M
21 J. Łabojko M
9 S. Moreo F
11 F. Ayé F
6 N. Galazzi F
Bench (8)
32 A. Papetti
27 G. Olzer
24 F. Bianchi
14 M. Mangraviti
19 P. Nuamah
16 V. Garofalo
1 L. Andrenacci
18 A. Jallow

Coach: Pep Clotet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,07
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.