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Serie B
Referee: L Marinelli
Brescia
S T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Cremonese
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
18%
58%
Both score Ø 47%
36%
58%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 25
1 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 10
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 15. · Cremonese 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 12 9 2 1 +16 29
2 Venezia 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Palermo 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Modena 13 6 4 3 +1 22
5 Catanzaro 13 6 3 4 +2 21
6 Como 12 6 3 3 +2 21
7 Cosenza 13 5 4 4 +5 19
8 Cremonese 12 5 4 3 +5 19
9 Bari 13 3 9 1 +2 18
10 Sudtirol 12 4 4 4 +2 16
11 Pisa 13 4 4 5 -1 16
12 Cittadella 12 4 4 4 -3 16
13 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
14 Reggiana 13 3 6 4 -3 15
15 Brescia 11 3 4 4 +0 13
16 Ascoli 13 3 3 7 -4 12
17 Lecco 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Spezia 12 1 6 5 -8 9
19 FeralpiSalo 13 1 4 8 -17 7
20 Ternana 12 1 3 8 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Cremonese
Giacomo Olzer 🟨
7′
13′
🟨 Matteo Bianchetti
17′
🟨 Charles Pickel
17′
L. Ravanelli 0–1
32′
M. Coda 0–2
V. Antov
Andrea Cistana 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–2
M. Bertagnoli 🔁
↦ M. Besaggio
46′
46′
🔁 A. Tuia
↦ M. Bianchetti
46′
🔁 M. Collocolo
↦ C. Pickel
48′
🟨 Alessandro Tuia
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ G. Borrelli
67′
N. Galazzi 🔁
↦ R. Fogliata
67′
Massimo Bertagnoli 🟨
69′
72′
🔁 P. Ghiglione
↦ L. Sernicola
74′
🔁 D. Okereke
↦ C. Buonaiuto
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ G. Olzer
77′
80′
ℹ️ Paolo Ghiglione
VAR: Goal cancelled
81′
🔁 Ž. Majer
↦ M. Coda
89′
D. Okereke 0–3
F. Vázquez
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
24 L. Dickmann D
21 R. Fogliata M
5 T. van de Looi M
39 M. Besaggio M
27 G. Olzer M
29 G. Borrelli F
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (9)
26 M. Bertagnoli
9 F. Bianchi
23 N. Galazzi
7 B. Bjarnason
16 C. Riviera
22 L. Andrenacci
19 E. Maccherini Tonini
3 M. Huard
6 M. Fares

Coach: L. Belingheri

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
17 L. Sernicola M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
90 M. Coda F
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (12)
13 A. Tuia
8 M. Collocolo
18 P. Ghiglione
77 D. Okereke
37 Ž. Majer
44 L. Lochoshvili
91 A. Bertolacci
33 G. Quagliata
21 G. Saro
14 L. Valzania
74 F. Tsadjout
9 D. Ciofani

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,62
U
3,31
B ✓
2,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.