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Ligue 2
Referee: Brendan Roffet
Clermont
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Le Mans
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 24
2 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 13
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 10. · Le Mans 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 7 5 2 0 +8 17
2 Troyes 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Pau FC 7 4 2 1 +5 14
4 Red Star 7 4 1 2 +5 13
5 Reims 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Nancy 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Rodez 7 3 2 2 -2 11
8 Guingamp 7 3 1 3 -4 10
9 Amiens 7 2 3 2 +3 9
10 Clermont 7 2 3 2 -2 9
11 Le Mans 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 Annecy 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Montpellier 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Laval 7 1 4 2 -3 7
15 Dunkerque 7 1 3 3 -2 6
16 Boulogne 7 2 0 5 -4 6
17 Grenoble 7 1 2 4 -4 5
18 Bastia 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Nov -19 Clermont – Le Mans 0–1

Match report

Clermont Le Mans
1–0 L. Socka Bongue
21′
Théo Guivarch 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 L. Calodat
↦ L. Abanda
57′
🔁 E. Colas
↦ B. Guillaume
57′
🔁 D. Gueye
↦ W. Harhouz
J. Gastien 🔁
↦ I. Fakili
61′
65′
🟨 Martin Rossignol
O. Diop 🔁
↦ K. Bamba
66′
A. Said 🔁
↦ L. Socka Bongue
66′
67′
🔁 E. Quarshie
↦ M. Rossignol
67′
🔁 J. Vercruysse
↦ M. Robin
71′
🟨 Lucas Buades
82′
J. Vercruysse 1–1
I. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ C. O. Konate
83′
A. Ackra 🔁
↦ A. Baallal
84′
Johan Gastien 🟨
91′
96′
🟨 Nicolas Kocik
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Clermont

4-2-3-1
30 T. Guivarch G
15 C. O. Konate D
5 M. Caufriez D
28 I. M'Bahia D
97 K. Boto D
10 H. Saivet M
2 A. Baallal M
7 A. Camblan M
32 K. Bamba M
29 I. Fakili M
94 L. Socka Bongue F
Bench (7)
1 M. N'Diaye
93 I. Coulibaly
44 A. Ackra
8 Y. Bellache
25 J. Gastien
17 O. Diop
9 A. Said

Coach: Sébastien Mazeyrat

Le Mans

5-3-2
98 N. Kocik G
18 L. Buades D
21 T. Eyoum
17 S. Yohou D
3 I. Cossier D
11 L. Abanda D
24 M. Robin M
8 A. Lauray M
27 M. Rossignol M
19 B. Guillaume F
20 W. Harhouz F
Bench (7)
31 N. Boisse
22 L. Calodat
6 E. Quarshie
10 J. Vercruysse
28 E. Colas
25 D. Gueye
9 A. Rabillard

Coach: Patrick Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,18
B
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.