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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Le Mans

T U T S T

0–1

Full-time

Rodez

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Mans 13. · Rodez 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	4	2	2	0	+5	8
2	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Nancy	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Red Star	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Reims	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Troyes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Clermont	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Amiens	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Dunkerque	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Rodez	4	1	2	1	-3	5
12	Laval	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Le Mans	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Annecy	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Grenoble	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Bastia	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Boulogne	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Rodez	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Le Mans	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Montpellier	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Annecy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Annecy	3	1	0	2	-2	3
8	Pau FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.