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Ligue 2
Referee: Stephanie Frappart
Le Mans
T T U S U
2–2
Full-time
Troyes
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Mans 13. · Troyes 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 8 6 1 1 +10 19
2 St Etienne 8 5 2 1 +7 17
3 Pau FC 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 Red Star 8 5 1 2 +6 16
5 Reims 8 4 2 2 +3 14
6 Guingamp 8 4 1 3 -3 13
7 Montpellier 8 3 2 3 +0 11
8 Nancy 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Rodez 8 3 2 3 -3 11
10 Clermont 8 2 4 2 -2 10
11 Dunkerque 8 2 3 3 +2 9
12 Amiens 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Le Mans 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Annecy 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Laval 8 1 4 3 -4 7
16 Grenoble 8 1 3 4 -4 6
17 Boulogne 8 2 0 6 -5 6
18 Bastia 8 0 3 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Oct -19 Troyes – Le Mans 2–1

Match report

Le Mans Troyes
27′
🟨 Martin Adeline
Samuel Yohou 🟨
37′
42′
🟨 Paolo Gozzi
44′
🟨 Nicolas Lemaitre
Half-time 0–0
W. Harhouz 🔁
↦ A. Rabillard
60′
A. Lauray 🔁
↦ E. Quarshie
61′
1–0 W. Harhouz
61′
69′
🔁 M. Detourbet
↦ M. Adeline
73′
T. Bentayeb 1–1
75′
T. Bentayeb 1–2
J. Assoumou
77′
🔁 M. El Idrissy
↦ T. Bentayeb
B. Guillaume 🔁
↦ M. Robin
79′
B. Oggad 🔁
↦ L. Buades
79′
87′
🔁 H. Gambor
↦ M. Ifnaoui
87′
🔁 A. Ouzenadji
↦ J. Assoumou
2–2 L. Calodat
D. Gueye
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Le Mans

5-3-2
98 N. Kocik G
18 L. Buades D
21 T. Eyoum
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
22 L. Calodat D
24 M. Robin M
6 E. Quarshie M
10 J. Vercruysse M
9 A. Rabillard F
25 D. Gueye F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
3 I. Cossier
8 A. Lauray
7 M. Gomes
19 B. Guillaume
20 W. Harhouz
26 B. Oggad

Coach: Patrick Videira

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaitre G
44 Y. Titi D
6 A. Monfray D
25 P. Gozzi D
14 I. Boura D
8 M. Diop M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
17 A. Mille M
5 M. Adeline M
15 J. Assoumou M
21 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
40 H. Konate
23 H. Gambor
35 R. Murcy
11 M. Detourbet
9 M. El Idrissy
12 E. Odede
3 A. Ouzenadji

Coach: Stéphane Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U ✓
3,23
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.