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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
Bastia
S S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Annecy
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 6. · Annecy 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Metz 6 3 3 0 +9 12
2 Paris FC 6 4 0 2 +4 12
3 Dunkerque 6 4 0 2 +1 12
4 Annecy 6 3 2 1 +4 11
5 Pau FC 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Bastia 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Grenoble 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Lorient 6 3 1 2 +2 10
10 Ajaccio 6 3 1 2 +2 10
11 Amiens 6 3 0 3 +0 9
12 Laval 6 2 2 2 +3 8
13 Caen 6 2 1 3 -3 7
14 Red Star 6 2 1 3 -5 7
15 Clermont 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Rodez 6 1 0 5 -4 3
17 Martigues 6 1 0 5 -13 3
18 Troyes 6 0 1 5 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Annecy
10′
J. Guevara 1–0
own goal
Johny Placide 🟨
16′
Gustave Akueson 🟨
16′
26′
🟨 Francois Lajugie
38′
🟨 Ritchy Valme
2–0 L. Cissé
C. Vincent
39′
Half-time 2–0
A. Roncaglia 🔁
↦ G. Akueson
46′
46′
🔁 T. Delphis
↦ F. Lajugie
3–0 A. Boutrah
51′
57′
🔁 V. Pajot
↦ W. Tiendrébéogo
57′
🔁 J. Kouadio
↦ R. Valme
58′
🔁 H. Soukouna
↦ F. Nsakala
J. Maggiotti 🔁
↦ J. Janneh
61′
F. Tomi 🔁
↦ A. Boutrah
61′
C. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ L. Tramoni
72′
73′
🔁 T. Dago
↦ K. Djoco
T. Meynadier 🔁
↦ L. Cissé
80′
82′
T. Dago 3–1
85′
🟨 Axel Drouhin
94′
🟨 Yohan Demoncy
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
28 G. Akueson D
3 J. Guevara D
17 Z. Ariss D
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
27 L. Tramoni M
7 C. Vincent M
10 A. Boutrah M
11 L. Cissé F
Bench (7)
4 A. Roncaglia
5 J. Maggiotti
9 F. Tomi
25 C. Rodrigues
24 T. Meynadier
23 J. Fabri
14 L. Etoga

Coach: B. Tavenot

Annecy

4-3-3
1 F. Escales G
6 F. Lajugie D
18 A. Drouhin D
4 R. Valme D
21 F. Nsakala D
28 A. Larose M
5 A. Kashi M
24 Y. Demoncy M
20 W. Tiendrébéogo F
10 K. Djoco F
22 C. Billemaz F
Bench (7)
41 T. Delphis
17 V. Pajot
27 J. Kouadio
2 H. Soukouna
9 T. Dago
26 A. Bermont
16 T. Callens

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
2,94
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,53
U2,5
1,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.