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Ligue 2

Referee: P Gaillouste

Pau FC

S T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Bastia

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

8 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Bastia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	7	0	2	+10	21
2	Lorient	9	6	1	2	+8	19
3	Grenoble	9	5	1	3	+7	16
4	Dunkerque	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	Metz	9	4	3	2	+7	15
6	Annecy	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Amiens	9	5	0	4	+2	15
8	Laval	9	4	2	3	+5	14
9	Pau FC	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Bastia	8	3	4	1	+2	13
11	Guingamp	9	4	1	4	+1	13
12	Ajaccio	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Rodez	9	3	0	6	-2	9
14	Clermont	9	2	3	4	-2	9
15	Caen	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Red Star	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Martigues	9	1	2	6	-15	5
18	Troyes	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Grenoble	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Lorient	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Dunkerque	5	4	0	1	+2	12
5	Ajaccio	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Metz	5	2	3	0	+7	9
7	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
8	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Annecy	4	3	0	1	+3	9
10	Bastia	5	2	3	0	+2	9
11	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	+4	7
12	Laval	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Caen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Clermont	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Red Star	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Rodez	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Martigues	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	5	4	0	1	+7	12
2	Laval	5	2	1	2	+3	7
3	Lorient	5	2	1	2	+0	7
4	Rodez	5	2	0	3	+2	6
5	Annecy	5	1	3	1	+0	6
6	Metz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Pau FC	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Dunkerque	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Red Star	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Martigues	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Grenoble	4	1	0	3	-1	3
15	Caen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Ajaccio	5	0	1	4	-7	1
17	Troyes	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Amiens	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.