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Ligue 2

Referee: F Batta

Caen

U T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Lorient

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,6

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

4 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 13. · Lorient 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	8	6	0	2	+7	18
2	Dunkerque	8	5	1	2	+2	16
3	Annecy	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	Guingamp	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Grenoble	8	4	1	3	+5	13
6	Lorient	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Metz	7	3	3	1	+8	12
8	Bastia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Amiens	7	4	0	3	+1	12
10	Laval	8	3	2	3	+4	11
11	Pau FC	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Ajaccio	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Caen	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	Red Star	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Rodez	8	2	0	6	-4	6
16	Clermont	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Troyes	8	1	1	6	-10	4
18	Martigues	7	1	1	5	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Dunkerque	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Grenoble	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Ajaccio	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Annecy	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Bastia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+5	7
11	Caen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Metz	4	1	3	0	+6	6
13	Laval	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Troyes	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Rodez	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Clermont	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Martigues	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Laval	5	2	1	2	+3	7
3	Annecy	4	1	3	0	+2	6
4	Metz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Lorient	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Red Star	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Rodez	4	1	0	3	+0	3
11	Grenoble	4	1	0	3	-1	3
12	Clermont	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Martigues	3	1	0	2	-7	3
14	Pau FC	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Troyes	5	0	1	4	-7	1
17	Caen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.