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Ligue 2

Referee: P Gaillouste

Red Star

T T U T T

2–2

Full-time

Caen

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 15. · Caen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	8	6	0	2	+7	18
2	Lorient	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Dunkerque	8	5	1	2	+2	16
4	Metz	8	4	3	1	+9	15
5	Annecy	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Grenoble	8	4	1	3	+5	13
7	Guingamp	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Bastia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Amiens	8	4	0	4	+0	12
10	Laval	8	3	2	3	+4	11
11	Pau FC	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Ajaccio	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Clermont	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Caen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Red Star	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Rodez	8	2	0	6	-4	6
17	Martigues	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Troyes	8	1	1	6	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Dunkerque	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Grenoble	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Ajaccio	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Metz	5	2	3	0	+7	9
6	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
8	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Annecy	4	3	0	1	+3	9
10	Bastia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
11	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+5	7
12	Caen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Clermont	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Laval	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Troyes	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Rodez	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Martigues	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Laval	5	2	1	2	+3	7
3	Lorient	5	2	1	2	+0	7
4	Annecy	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Metz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Red Star	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Martigues	4	1	1	2	-7	4
11	Rodez	4	1	0	3	+0	3
12	Grenoble	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Clermont	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Pau FC	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Troyes	5	0	1	4	-7	1
17	Caen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Amiens	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.