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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Bastia

T S U T S

1–2

Full-time

Caen

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

45%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

35%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 13. · Caen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	20	12	5	3	+22	41
2	Angers	20	12	4	4	+15	40
3	Grenoble	20	9	8	3	+8	35
4	Laval	20	10	5	5	+4	35
5	Pau FC	20	8	7	5	+2	31
6	Guingamp	20	8	6	6	+8	30
7	Rodez	20	8	6	6	+3	30
8	Paris FC	20	9	3	8	+2	30
9	Ajaccio	20	8	6	6	+0	30
10	Caen	20	8	5	7	+3	29
11	St Etienne	20	8	5	7	+0	29
12	Amiens	20	7	7	6	-3	28
13	Bastia	20	6	6	8	+0	24
14	Troyes	20	5	8	7	-1	23
15	Bordeaux	20	6	5	9	-7	23
16	Concarneau	20	6	4	10	-9	22
17	Annecy	20	4	7	9	-7	19
18	Quevilly Rouen	20	3	8	9	-5	17
19	Dunkerque	20	3	5	12	-19	14
20	Valenciennes	20	1	8	11	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Ajaccio	10	6	4	0	+9	22
3	Rodez	10	6	3	1	+9	21
4	Auxerre	10	6	2	2	+12	20
5	Pau FC	10	5	4	1	+6	19
6	Grenoble	10	5	4	1	+4	19
7	Bastia	10	5	3	2	+3	18
8	Caen	10	5	2	3	+5	17
9	Paris FC	11	5	2	4	+4	17
10	Amiens	11	4	5	2	+2	17
11	Laval	10	5	2	3	-1	17
12	St Etienne	11	4	3	4	+1	15
13	Troyes	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	+5	12
15	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Annecy	10	2	4	4	-2	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	10	2	3	5	-2	9
18	Concarneau	9	2	2	5	-6	8
19	Valenciennes	10	0	4	6	-8	4
20	Dunkerque	10	0	2	8	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	10	6	3	1	+10	21
2	Laval	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Grenoble	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Angers	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	St Etienne	9	4	2	3	-1	14
7	Concarneau	11	4	2	5	-3	14
8	Paris FC	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Caen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Pau FC	10	3	3	4	-4	12
11	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Amiens	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Bordeaux	11	3	2	6	-8	11
14	Troyes	10	1	6	3	-2	9
15	Annecy	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Rodez	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Quevilly Rouen	10	1	5	4	-3	8
18	Ajaccio	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Valenciennes	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Bastia	10	1	3	6	-3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.