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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Auxerre
S S U T T
5–2
Full-time
St Etienne
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
62%
23%
Both score Ø 47%
62%
31%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 4. · St Etienne 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 13 9 2 2 +9 29
2 Angers 13 8 2 3 +9 26
3 St Etienne 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 Auxerre 13 6 4 3 +11 22
5 Grenoble 13 5 6 2 +3 21
6 Guingamp 13 5 5 3 +7 20
7 Ajaccio 13 5 5 3 +2 20
8 Rodez 13 5 4 4 +2 19
9 Amiens 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
11 Bastia 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Bordeaux 14 4 4 6 -6 16
13 Caen 13 4 3 6 +2 15
14 Annecy 14 3 6 5 -5 15
15 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
16 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 -3 14
17 Troyes 13 2 7 4 -1 13
18 Quevilly Rouen 13 2 4 7 -4 10
19 Dunkerque 13 2 3 8 -10 9
20 Valenciennes 13 1 6 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre St Etienne
1–0 A. Onaiwu
G. Perrin
3′
2–0 G. Perrin
E. Owusu
21′
31′
M. Cafaro 2–1
3–1 A. Onaiwu
P. Joly
36′
Half-time 3–1
Assane Dioussé 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Benjamin Bouchouari
52′
🔁 M. Bentayg
↦ L. Fomba
52′
🔁 G. Charbonnier
↦ S. Diarra
62′
🟨 Florian Tardieu
4–1 A. Onaiwu
G. Perrin
66′
73′
🔁 T. Monconduit
↦ F. Tardieu
73′
🔁 V. Lobry
↦ I. Sissoko
73′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ B. Bouchouari
Ousmane Camara 🔁
↦ F. Ayé
74′
N. Buayi-Kiala 🔁
↦ A. Dioussé
74′
L. Sinayoko 🔁
↦ A. Onaiwu
80′
80′
M. Bentayg 4–2
A. Moueffek
5–2 L. Sinayoko
G. Perrin
82′
C. Dagba 🔁
↦ P. Joly
86′
E. Maddy 🔁
↦ G. Perrin
86′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Auxerre

4-2-3-1
16 D. Léon G
26 P. Joly D
4 Jubal D
5 T. Pellenard D
14 G. Mensah D
42 E. Owusu M
18 A. Dioussé M
7 G. Hein M
10 G. Perrin M
45 A. Onaiwu M
19 F. Ayé F
Bench (7)
28 Ousmane Camara
8 N. Buayi-Kiala
17 L. Sinayoko
2 C. Dagba
11 E. Maddy
13 C. Akpa
40 T. De Percin

Coach: C. Pélissier

St Etienne

4-3-3
42 E. Green G
8 D. Appiah D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
19 L. Pétrot D
26 L. Fomba M
5 F. Tardieu M
6 B. Bouchouari M
18 M. Cafaro F
9 I. Sissoko F
17 S. Diarra F
Bench (7)
13 M. Bentayg
10 G. Charbonnier
7 T. Monconduit
22 V. Lobry
29 A. Moueffek
14 D. Chambost
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,70
B
4,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.