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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
St Etienne
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Paris FC
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 2. · Paris FC 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 12 8 2 2 +7 26
2 St Etienne 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Angers 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Auxerre 12 6 4 2 +12 22
5 Grenoble 12 5 6 1 +6 21
6 Rodez 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
8 Guingamp 12 4 5 3 +6 17
9 Ajaccio 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Amiens 12 4 4 4 -3 16
11 Caen 12 4 3 5 +3 15
12 Annecy 12 3 6 3 -1 15
13 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
14 Bastia 12 3 4 5 -6 13
15 Bordeaux 12 3 4 5 -6 13
16 Paris FC 12 3 2 7 -4 11
17 Troyes 12 1 7 4 -2 10
18 Valenciennes 12 1 6 5 -8 9
19 Dunkerque 12 2 3 7 -9 9
20 Quevilly Rouen 12 1 4 7 -6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Paris FC
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 K. Dabila
↦ S. Alakouch
G. Charbonnier 🔁
↦ L. Fomba
71′
M. Bentayg 🔁
↦ M. Nadé
71′
S. Diarra 🔁
↦ M. Rivera
71′
72′
A. Gory 0–1
74′
🟨 Yoan Koré
78′
🔁 L. Diaby-Fadiga
↦ A. Gory
80′
🟨 Pierre-Yves Hamel
85′
🔁 M. Touré
↦ P. Hamel
A. Moueffek 🔁
↦ B. Bouchouari
86′
86′
🔁 Y. Demoncy
↦ A. Camara
91′
🟨 Obed Nkambadio
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
42 E. Green G
8 D. Appiah D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
19 L. Pétrot D
6 B. Bouchouari M
5 F. Tardieu M
26 L. Fomba M
18 M. Cafaro F
9 I. Sissoko F
20 M. Rivera F
Bench (7)
10 G. Charbonnier
13 M. Bentayg
17 S. Diarra
29 A. Moueffek
22 V. Lobry
1 M. Dreyer
14 D. Chambost

Coach: L. Batlles

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
16 O. Nkambadio G
22 S. Alakouch D
25 Y. Koré D
5 M. Mbow D
27 J. Gaudin D
17 A. Camara M
14 C. Mandouki M
7 A. Gory M
10 I. Kebbal M
23 J. Lukembila M
29 P. Hamel F
Bench (7)
13 K. Dabila
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
19 M. Touré
8 Y. Demoncy
11 A. Pembélé
28 G. Oualengbe
40 I. Filipović

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U
3,42
B ✓
3,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.