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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Bournemouth
U S T T S
3–2
Full-time
Blackburn
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bournemouth Blackburn
1–0 J. Stacey ⚽
J. Stanislas
25′
42′
⚽ B. Johnson 1–1
J. Rankin-Costello
Half-time 1–1
Steve Cook 🟨
48′
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
51′
2–1 J. Lerma ⚽
D. Solanke
53′
D. Gosling 🔁
↦ J. Lerma
59′
68′
🔁 T. Dolan
↦ B. Brereton
68′
🔁 J. Rothwell
↦ J. Rankin-Costello
73′
⚽ A. Armstrong 2–2
R. Nyambe
D. Brooks 🔁
↦ C. Mepham
79′
3–2 A. Groeneveld ⚽
A. Smith
84′
P. Billing 🔁
↦ J. Stanislas
85′
86′
🔁 C. Evans
↦ L. Travis
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Bournemouth

5-4-1
23 M. Travers G
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
17 J. Stacey D
5 L. Kelly D
6 C. Mepham D
19 J. Stanislas M
8 J. Lerma M
16 L. Cook M
9 D. Solanke F
10 A. Groeneveld M
Bench (7)
4 D. Gosling
7 D. Brooks
29 P. Billing
14 S. Surridge
24 N. Ofoborh
25 J. Simpson
40 W. Dennis

Coach: J. Tindall

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
26 D. Lenihan D
3 D. Williams D
17 A. Bell D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
4 B. Johnson M
10 L. Holtby M
24 J. Rankin-Costello F
7 A. Armstrong F
20 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
39 T. Dolan
8 J. Rothwell
29 C. Evans
33 A. Fisher
31 E. Bennett
28 S. Wharton
21 J. Buckley

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
🔒
U
3,43
🔒
B
3,72
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,98
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.