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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Brann

U S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Fredrikstad

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

62%

38%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

76%

38%

Both score Ø 55%

62%

48%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,50 xG 0,83

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brann 3. · Fredrikstad 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	23	15	5	3	+23	+20.6	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	4	3	+39	+35.0	49
3	Brann	21	13	4	4	+11	+17.7	43
4	Tromso	22	13	3	6	+8	+4.1	42
5	Rosenborg	21	9	7	5	+5	+5.6	34
6	Fredrikstad	21	8	7	6	+4	-1.4	31
7	Valerenga	22	9	4	9	+1	-4.6	31
8	KFUM Oslo	22	7	8	7	+7	+7.1	29
9	Sarpsborg 08	23	7	8	8	+1	+11.4	29
10	Sandefjord	21	9	1	11	+4	-5.4	28
11	Molde	22	8	3	11	+0	-0.4	27
12	Kristiansund	22	7	6	9	-16	-15.7	27
13	Bryne	22	5	6	11	-12	-4.1	21
14	Ham-Kam	22	5	6	11	-14	-13.6	21
15	Stromsgodset	22	6	1	15	-17	-20.9	19
16	Haugesund	22	1	3	18	-44	-35.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	11	8	2	1	+14	+13.7	26
2	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	1	2	+24	+19.9	25
3	Sandefjord	11	8	0	3	+15	+0.7	24
4	Brann	10	7	2	1	+7	+10.3	23
5	Tromso	11	7	1	3	+6	+5.5	22
6	Fredrikstad	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
7	Rosenborg	10	5	5	0	+10	+8.2	20
8	Valerenga	11	5	3	3	+6	+0.2	18
9	KFUM Oslo	11	4	4	3	+7	+4.4	16
10	Molde	11	5	1	5	+3	+6.3	16
11	Bryne	11	4	3	4	-3	+3.7	15
12	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	4	4	+1	+3.1	13
13	Kristiansund	11	3	4	4	-3	-6.0	13
14	Ham-Kam	11	3	3	5	-7	-7.2	12
15	Stromsgodset	11	3	0	8	-11	-8.2	9
16	Haugesund	11	1	2	8	-22	-11.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+15	+15.1	24
2	Viking	12	7	3	2	+9	+6.9	24
3	Brann	11	6	2	3	+4	+7.4	20
4	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+2	-1.3	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	4	4	+0	+8.4	16
6	Rosenborg	11	4	2	5	-5	-2.7	14
7	Kristiansund	11	4	2	5	-13	-9.7	14
8	KFUM Oslo	11	3	4	4	+0	+2.7	13
9	Valerenga	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.8	13
10	Molde	11	3	2	6	-3	-6.7	11
11	Fredrikstad	9	2	4	3	-3	-1.4	10
12	Stromsgodset	11	3	1	7	-6	-12.7	10
13	Ham-Kam	11	2	3	6	-7	-6.4	9
14	Bryne	11	1	3	7	-9	-7.7	6
15	Sandefjord	10	1	1	8	-11	-6.2	4
16	Haugesund	11	0	1	10	-22	-24.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.