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Eliteserien

Referee: M Støfringshaug

Fredrikstad

S U S T U

1–1

Full-time

Kristiansund

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

46%

27%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

54%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,42 xG 0,87

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 6. · Kristiansund 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	26	16	6	4	+35	+21.1	54
2	Brann	26	15	7	4	+19	+13.1	52
3	Viking	27	14	8	5	+17	+15.5	50
4	Molde	26	14	5	7	+28	+18.2	47
5	Rosenborg	26	13	4	9	+6	-0.2	43
6	Fredrikstad	26	12	7	7	+2	+2.5	43
7	KFUM Oslo	26	8	10	8	+0	+6.3	34
8	Ham-Kam	26	8	8	10	+0	-3.2	32
9	Stromsgodset	26	8	8	10	-7	-6.1	32
10	Kristiansund	26	7	9	10	-9	-9.1	30
11	Tromso	26	8	5	13	-9	-13.3	29
12	Sarpsborg 08	26	8	5	13	-14	-5.7	29
13	Sandefjord	27	7	7	13	-8	-2.7	28
14	Haugesund	26	6	6	14	-17	-8.8	24
15	Lillestrom	26	7	3	16	-22	-6.9	24
16	Odd	26	5	8	13	-21	-20.5	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	9	4	1	+12	+10.5	31
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	3	1	+26	+14.3	30
3	Rosenborg	13	9	1	3	+11	+6.2	28
4	Brann	13	8	2	3	+11	+11.1	26
5	Molde	13	7	2	4	+15	+13.4	23
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	5	2	+3	+6.2	23
7	Kristiansund	13	5	6	2	+1	+4.4	21
8	Sandefjord	13	6	2	5	+2	+2.7	20
9	Stromsgodset	13	5	4	4	+3	+6.5	19
10	Ham-Kam	13	4	4	5	+2	-1.5	16
11	Tromso	13	4	3	6	+1	-0.2	15
12	KFUM Oslo	13	2	7	4	-4	+8.6	13
13	Odd	13	3	4	6	-8	-5.7	13
14	Haugesund	13	4	1	8	-8	+0.5	13
15	Lillestrom	13	3	3	7	-10	-1.2	12
16	Sarpsborg 08	13	3	2	8	-11	-0.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	13	7	5	1	+8	+2.0	26
2	Molde	13	7	3	3	+13	+4.9	24
3	Bodo/Glimt	13	7	3	3	+9	+6.8	24
4	KFUM Oslo	13	6	3	4	+4	-2.3	21
5	Fredrikstad	13	6	2	5	-1	-3.7	20
6	Viking	13	5	4	4	+5	+4.9	19
7	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	3	5	-3	-5.4	18
8	Ham-Kam	13	4	4	5	-2	-1.8	16
9	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-5	-6.4	15
10	Tromso	13	4	2	7	-10	-13.1	14
11	Stromsgodset	13	3	4	6	-10	-12.5	13
12	Lillestrom	13	4	0	9	-12	-5.7	12
13	Haugesund	13	2	5	6	-9	-9.3	11
14	Odd	13	2	4	7	-13	-14.8	10
15	Kristiansund	13	2	3	8	-10	-13.5	9
16	Sandefjord	14	1	5	8	-10	-5.5	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.