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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes
Kristiansund
S T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 52%
43%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
71%
40%
Both score Ø 53%
86%
20%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,15 xG 1,10
60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 6. · Fredrikstad 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brann 7 5 1 1 +4 +6.1 16
2 Rosenborg 7 4 3 0 +7 +5.9 15
3 Viking 7 4 2 1 +9 +8.7 14
4 Bodo/Glimt 4 3 1 0 +7 +5.5 10
5 Fredrikstad 5 3 1 1 +6 -3.0 10
6 Kristiansund 7 3 1 3 -2 -0.7 10
7 Sandefjord 5 3 0 2 +2 +0.3 9
8 Sarpsborg 08 5 2 2 1 +3 +2.1 8
9 Valerenga 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.8 7
10 Stromsgodset 6 2 0 4 +2 -2.7 6
11 Molde 5 1 2 2 -4 +0.5 5
12 Tromso 5 1 1 3 -3 +0.4 4
13 KFUM Oslo 5 1 1 3 -5 -3.0 4
14 Ham-Kam 5 1 1 3 -7 -4.3 4
15 Bryne 5 1 0 4 -4 -0.2 3
16 Haugesund 6 0 1 5 -13 -14.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Fredrikstad
38′
🟨 Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 S. Sorlokk
↦ H. Skogvold
56′
🔁 R. R. Shein
↦ O. Ohlenschlaeger
F. Flex 🔁
↦ M. Rakneberg
67′
M. Isah 🔁
↦ S. Kilen
67′
N. Odegard 🔁
↦ W. Igor
67′
71′
S. Molde 0–1
S. Sorlokk
Rezan Corlu 🟨
73′
Mustapha Isah 🟨
76′
A. Guessand 🔁
↦ R. Corlu
87′
87′
🔁 B. Faraas
↦ E. Holten
88′
🟨 Daniel Eid
93′
🟨 Leonard Owusu
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-1-4-1
12 A. Saether
4 M. Olsen
21 I. Jelicic D
5 D. Ulvestad D
15 M. Rakneberg D
20 W. Igor M
16 D. Tufekcic
10 R. Corlu M
8 R. Alte M
9 S. Kilen
25 A. Ndour F
Bench (9)
40 S. Rod
3 F. Flex
6 A. Guessand
7 M. Isah
11 F. Nyenetue
18 N. Odegard
24 A. Alemseged
31 H. Opsahl
33 H. Haugen

Coach: Amund Robertsen Skiri

Fredrikstad

5-3-2
30 J. Fischer G
16 D. Eid D
22 M. Woledzi D
12 U. Fredriksen D
3 B. Skaret D
4 S. Molde
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger M
6 L. Owusu M
11 P. Metcalfe M
9 E. Holten F
23 H. Skogvold F
Bench (9)
1 O. Ovretveit
5 S. Rafn
7 B. Faraas
13 S. Sorlokk
18 L. Begby
19 R. R. Shein
21 J. Hanstad
31 E. Solberg
40 E. Granaas

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Tore Sinnes · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.