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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Willem II

U T S S T

2–2

Full-time

Excelsior

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

22 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 7. · Excelsior 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+7	7
6	Heracles	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Willem II	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-6	6
9	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	De Graafschap	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Vitesse	3	0	2	1	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.