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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Ath Madrid
S U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Eibar
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
19 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
14 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 10. · Eibar 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 Celta 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Levante 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Sevilla 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Espanol 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Ath Madrid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Alaves 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Girona 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Betis 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Huesca 4 1 1 2 -6 4
15 Eibar 3 1 0 2 -2 3
16 Vallecano 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Valencia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Villarreal 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Leganes 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Eibar
16′
🟨 Charles Días
Koke 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
Diego Godín 🟨
51′
54′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
57′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Charles
57′
🔁 G. Escalante
↦ Pere Milla
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ T. Lemar
59′
Borja Garcés 🔁
↦ Rodri Hernández
71′
80′
🔁 Marc Cardona
↦ P. Diop
87′
Sergi Enrich 0–1
1–1 Borja Garcés
A. Griezmann
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-1-4-1
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
24 J. Giménez D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
14 Rodri Hernández M
19 Diego Costa F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
10 Á. Correa
32 Borja Garcés
1 Adán
35 Francisco Montero
33 A. Solano
18 Gelson Martins
5 T. Partey

Coach: D. Simeone

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
15 Cote D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
8 P. Diop M
16 P. De Blasis M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
11 Rubén Peña D
24 Joan Jordán M
19 Charles F
22 Pere Milla M
Bench (7)
9 Sergi Enrich
5 G. Escalante
7 Marc Cardona
20 Marc Cucurella
18 Pablo Hervías
4 Ramis
13 Asier Riesgo

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.