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Championship
Referee: James Linington
Norwich
T T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
0 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 18. · Middlesbrough 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Derby 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Sheffield United 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Leeds 5 3 2 0 +7 11
5 West Brom 7 3 2 2 +6 11
6 Brentford 6 3 2 1 +6 11
7 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 +5 11
8 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +2 11
9 Bolton 6 3 2 1 +0 11
10 Wigan 6 3 1 2 +3 10
11 Sheffield Weds 6 3 1 2 +0 10
12 Aston Villa 6 2 3 1 +0 9
13 Blackburn 6 2 3 1 -1 9
14 Nott'm Forest 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Rotherham 6 2 0 4 -6 6
16 Millwall 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Birmingham 7 0 5 2 -2 5
18 Norwich 6 1 2 3 -3 5
19 Stoke 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Preston 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Hull 6 1 1 4 -5 4
22 QPR 6 1 1 4 -10 4
23 Ipswich 6 0 3 3 -4 3
24 Reading 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Middlesbrough
42′
🟨 Adam Clayton
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 G. Saville
↦ M. Bešić
58′
🔁 M. Braithwaite
↦ D. Fry
1–0 T. Pukki
58′
Timm Klose 🟨
59′
Marco Stiepermann 🟨
62′
70′
🔁 J. Hugill
↦ A. Clayton
M. Vrančić 🔁
↦ E. Buendía
77′
T. Trybull 🔁
↦ M. Stiepermann
77′
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ T. Pukki
84′
Moritz Leitner 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Norwich

4-3-3
1 T. Krul G
15 T. Klose D
6 C. Zimmermann D
27 A. Tettey M
18 M. Stiepermann M
10 M. Leitner M
25 O. Hernández M
17 E. Buendía M
12 J. Lewis D
37 M. Aarons D
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
8 M. Vrančić
19 T. Trybull
11 J. Rhodes
4 B. Godfrey
7 B. Marshall
33 M. McGovern
36 T. Cantwell

Coach: D. Farke

Middlesbrough

3-4-2-1
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
3 G. Friend D
4 Daniel Ayala D
24 A. Flint D
19 S. Downing F
16 J. Howson M
8 A. Clayton M
37 M. Bešić M
20 D. Fry D
9 B. Assombalonga F
Bench (7)
22 G. Saville
10 M. Braithwaite
11 J. Hugill
14 S. McQueen
6 D. Batth
1 D. Konstantopoulos
17 P. McNair

Coach: T. Pulis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.