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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Welz

Bayern Munich

S S T S S

3–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

3,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

76% Possession 24%

15 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Leverkusen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Mainz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Hannover	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	RB Leipzig	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.