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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Liesveld

Willem II

T T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Excelsior

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 14. · Excelsior 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Den Haag	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
8	Excelsior	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	Willem II	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Roda	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Zwolle	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Den Haag	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Roda	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-3	6
6	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Roda	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.