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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Ajax

S U S S S

3–0

Full-time

Groningen

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 54%

75%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

2,8

0,3

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

18 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Groningen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+7	7
6	Heracles	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Willem II	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-6	6
9	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	De Graafschap	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Vitesse	3	0	2	1	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.