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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Bolton
U S S T U
1–2
Full-time
QPR
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bolton 9. · QPR 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Derby 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Sheffield United 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Leeds 5 3 2 0 +7 11
5 West Brom 7 3 2 2 +6 11
6 Brentford 6 3 2 1 +6 11
7 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 +5 11
8 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +2 11
9 Bolton 6 3 2 1 +0 11
10 Wigan 6 3 1 2 +3 10
11 Sheffield Weds 6 3 1 2 +0 10
12 Aston Villa 6 2 3 1 +0 9
13 Blackburn 6 2 3 1 -1 9
14 Nott'm Forest 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Rotherham 6 2 0 4 -6 6
16 Millwall 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Birmingham 7 0 5 2 -2 5
18 Norwich 6 1 2 3 -3 5
19 Stoke 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Preston 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Hull 6 1 1 4 -5 4
22 QPR 6 1 1 4 -10 4
23 Ipswich 6 0 3 3 -4 3
24 Reading 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bolton QPR
Craig Noone 🟨
14′
26′
L. Freeman 0–1
N. Wells
Y. Wildschut 🔁
↦ Sammy Ameobi
35′
Half-time 0–2
56′
E. Eze 0–2
L. Freeman
J. Magennis 🔁
↦ J. Lowe
60′
1–2 J. Magennis
69′
73′
🔁 G. Cameron
↦ T. Hemed
E. Oztumer 🔁
↦ J. Grounds
82′
83′
🔁 J. Scowen
↦ L. Freeman
87′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ N. Wells
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bolton

4-2-3-1
1 B. Alnwick G
31 D. Wheater D
5 M. Beevers D
29 J. Grounds D
16 P. Olkowski D
19 G. O'Neil M
12 C. Noone M
4 J. Lowe M
10 Sammy Ameobi M
21 J. Williams M
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (7)
30 Y. Wildschut
28 J. Magennis
7 E. Oztumer
6 J. Vela
14 J. Hobbs
18 M. Wilson
20 R. Matthews

Coach: J. Phillips

QPR

4-4-2
13 J. Lumley G
22 Àngel Rangel D
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
37 T. Leistner D
8 J. Cousins M
21 M. Luongo M
10 E. Eze F
16 T. Hemed F
7 L. Freeman M
32 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
5 G. Cameron
11 J. Scowen
17 M. Smith
1 M. Ingram
15 A. Baptiste
20 B. Osayi-Samuel
23 P. Wszołek

Coach: S. McClaren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.